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Odds & Probability


  • Calculate odds pre and post flop using this website!
    Sid has created three excellent odds calculators right here at TexasHoldem-Poker.com for calculating odds pre-flop and post-flop. Check them out thru the links below: THE MOTHER OF ALL ODDS CALCULATORS PRE-FLOP ODDS CALCULATOR POST-FLOP ODDS CALCULATOR POT ODDS CALCULATOR
  • Keeping track of money going into pot ?
    Hi, I was just wondering if someone could explain to me the easiest way to keep track of money going into the pot, i am confused how you determine if there is a raise pre-flop or there is a raise on flop,turn river, could someone please give me an example or explain to me how you count a raise, is it...
  • Non poker related problem
    This has been annoying me all night. Last night my wife and I went down the pub with a few mates. At the pub they were playing the "deal or no deal" game. (i think you get it in the U.S aswell). It cost £1 ($2) for a ticket to enter. Then one lucky ticket would be drawn from the hat and...
  • New Article
    It's kinda heavy reading... http://www.texasholdem-poker.com/odds-simulations And it isn't fully edited yet either, but I wanted to get any reactions from anyone who actually understands it. :) Btw, that's the dumbed-down version. The full-on, bad ass version is complete with formulas and bigger...
  • someone help me understand why
    AK vs floped two pair , in our example k76 assume i have 76 why is ak 30% to win with 5 outs? is runner runner board pair 15% ish?

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  • I am missing 20 Cents
    "you cant see the forrest, because of all the trees" Thats what we say in german, if somebody is to stupid to see whats in front of his eyes and I think i am just seeing trees here... Had a "Poker-Luck vs Skill"-discussion and i was asked whats skill if somebody hits his one...
  • this for odds masters
    I know that this is a poker page but a friend told this would be a good place to post my question because it has to do with odds theory. that said I am a Magic the Gathering player and i am thrying to figure out what the formula of draw a paticular card when i have drawn X cards is. The deck is 60 cards....
  • help with pot odds PF
    Hi , Am still wrapping my head around pot odds concept and calling when you're pretty sure your behind. For example, just played in a 90 person S&G . When the blinds and ante are big, what cards do I need to complete from the SB. or to call a min raise from the BB. Let say the blinds are...
  • How to calculate odds?? Help please...
    Let me explain. Calculating odds for a hand played heads-up is easy, but what about when it's played by n-players, where n is 3 or more?? I know there's many calculators online, including a pretty good one here, but understanding how to do the calculations is part of a project me and a friend have. Is...
  • Quick probability question
    How far off center of the bell curve is it to see 121 hands without seeing a PP once? And I quit too, so who knows how long it would have continued.
  • Odds
    Played a hand just a few minutes ago and a few of us were wonering what the odds are of this happening. None of us are any good at figuring odds so please help us. Heads Up. Flop 7-8-10 rainbow Player one goes all in with 6-9 for a straight Player two calls with 8-Q for a pair. (why he called...
  • probability question
    I'm reading Harrington's book Vol 1, and he's got a situation where you are dealt AdAc flop comes 9h5c2s. It's between you and another person and he goes all in. It says that if he's got 99's or 55's then you have a 10% chance in winning. If he holds KK's, QQ's, JJ's or TT's you've got a 92% chance...
  • No calculators avaliable.......HELP!
    It's another home game, one of the guys is fairly short stacked. I get dealt A :spade: Q :spade: He raises pre-flop, I call, everyone else folds. Flop is 3 :spade: 6 :spade: K :club: He goes all-in. Now I'm happy working out my pot-odds, but I would like some help with working out my actual hand odds....
  • Deducting outs?
    Sorry in advance if this is the wrong section for this post. Ok, now consider this and then see the question at the bottom. You are holding K:spade: Q:spade: in the pocket and are currently at the turn. The board is: Ok so we're still on our straight draw with one card to come so let's...
  • Best Hand 8-players
    Assume 8 players all go all-in pre-flop and everybody shows their cards before the community cards are dealt. Is there a way to work out who has the best chance of winning the hand? (remember I am talking pre-flop so no community cards are out yet). What's the maths?
  • Odds to call?
    Hey guys, I figured I had a fair few outs on this hand. I ended up folding because I was unsure, but what were my odds here, and was it correct to fold? Full Tilt Poker Game #923463728: Table Civic Center - $0.05/$0.10 - No Limit Hold'em - 11:01:15 ET - 2006/08/22 Seat 2: angusteala ($6.45) Seat...
  • help with pot odds, bet odds, implied odds
    can someone explain or give me more examples to make this clear. also teach me how i would do this in a live game ********************************************************** Pot Odds The odds you get when analyzing the current size of the pot vs. your next call. "There's $200 already in...
  • Pot odds rookie
    I'm having trouble getting all your talk about pot odds. Maybe I'm a bit slow but once it sinks in it stays there.. :lol: I read another post with Out-odds 9 outs = 4-1 8 outs = 5-1 7 outs = 6-1 etc. I just can't figure out how to apply this when i'm playing.. If i have a flush draw on...
  • Hand odds
    I was doing some thinking today after getting beat by a nut flush again... why are flushes ranked so highly in poker? Now i know its a 5 card suited hand and whatnot, but is it really higher than 3 of a kind? or a straight? I don't have all the math worked out, but thinking about it...13 suited cards,...
  • bet analyst
    sorry about repost in general holdem(not sure where this belongs) http://www.texasholdem-poker.com/bet_analyst can someone explain to me how you would do this at a live game? do you bet more than the draw percentage of the pot? ex. #1 pot = $500 flop is opened with 2 cards left(turn...
  • Burning Changing Odds
    When i play Texas Holdem with my friends some of us burn one card, and then a couple others burn 2, He says the Odds of getting a card doesnt change with the ammount you burn, i say it does, im almost sure im right but i dont know how to back up my answer logicly so i said im gonna find out online and...
  • Difficult HU Game thoery problem
    **I didn't come up with this. I merely read it and found it interesting and thought I'd share it.** You're in the SB with xy. You have 10 big blinds left. The blind sturture is 1/2. Your only options are pushing and folding. There is no rake. What do you do with each starting hand? Assume your...
  • Hand Odds.
    Man I messed up. Sorry, I forgot he said for each street.
  • How do yous figure this math in your head?
    Your out odds. I don't know the correct term for it. You have 8 outs going to the turn. You 'out odds' are 2.1-1? How do you get it that close, meaning the 2.(insertnumberhere) in your head? Or do yous estimate? Or if you know your pot odds are greater do you even bother? What's process in...
  • Missing the Flop
    I struggled with keeping the title for this post brief. It really should be, "It Seems to Me that it Rarely Seems Correct to Continue if the Flop Misses Your Drawing Hand in Limit Ring Games--Do You Agree?." This post is about hands like AK, 33, JT suited, A4 suited, etc. Let's assume...
  • Is this Math right?
    I have 9 outs going to the river. The pot is $120 and somone bet $40 into it. Pot odds are 4-1 Out odds are 3.5-1? Or did I get them backwards? And they're 1-4 and 1-3.5? Mathematically this would be a correct call? Because my pot odds are higher than my out odds? Is they're a chart of...
  • Simple odds question
    Hey i was wondering what are the odds of hitting a flush draw on the river. An example was i had JK :diamond: , two diamonds on the flop, blank on the turn and with someone raising half the pot i wondered what were the odds of me hitting that flush. thanks (i folded)
  • Odds for a drawing hand?
    I was wodnering what odds you need (or I guess I should say prefer) preflop to play a drawing hand like T8s, JTos, etc etc?
  • Runner,runner,runner,runner!!!!
    This happened to me the other night at a live game at a friends house. A hand that put me out, just out of the money. I know this situation wouldn't normally be even considered because all 3 flop cards are usually dealt together at the same time. But because it was just a friendly home game showdown,...
  • Chance of making nut low with one card left
    say you have A2xx with xx being higher than 8. Whats the chance of catching the nut low with 2 low cards out on the flop?
  • What is the Probality of winning this "Jackpot"??
    # The opportunity to win the "Jackpot" commences when the first hand is dealt at the final table of ten players. The opportunity to win the "Jackpot" ends after the final hand is dealt at the final table # The player must use both his/her hole cards to make the Royal Flush # The...
  • oos + flush draw after the flop
    Let's say I have q :spade: j :spade: and the flop hits: 10 :spade: k :spade: 2 :heart: What are my chances of hitting either a straight or a flush on the turn/river? I think an oos draw is 33%? Not sure about the flush though. Do I push in this situation?
  • Percentages
    A :heart: K :heart: VS. K :spade: K :club: is only 65:35? in favor of the Kings, doenst it seem like KK would be at higher percent to win the hand preflop?
  • Combin?
    Was reading a gambling site, and came across 1000000 questions like this. First of all, if there's a better site on gambling on the web, I sure haven't seen it! It was also cool to put a name to a face when watching the Travel Channel. We always bring this question up at my monthly game, and decided...
  • Call here?
    PokerStars Game #5057257952: Tournament #25397728, 10000+325 Hold'em No Limit - Level III (25/50) - 2006/05/26 - 11:10:21 (ET) Table '25397728 2' 9-max Seat #3 is the button Seat 1: metrodawg (5445 in chips) Seat 2: edkess (3910 in chips) Seat 3: SHARK SEAN (1135 in chips) is sitting out Seat...
  • Odds to call w/ absolutely anything
    Pre-flop, what kind of odds do you need to call with any 2 cards? I was just in a hand where, I folded, but after thinking about it, should I have? I had T3os. 5 limped to me, I folded. After thinking about this, I was getting 6.5 to 1 on my money here. Would it have been right to call? When can...
  • What are the odds?
    OK, it's not an odds thing, it just sucks. Two people went all-in pre-flop, I couldn't do it. http://img466.imageshack.us/img466/2962/pacific3mm.jpg
  • When you hit a flush with suited cards , odds that ....
    someone else hit the flush with you , also with suited cards ( well duh :P ) ? Just wondering , every now and then you see a flush walk into a higher flush , but how likly is it?
  • Figuring out pot odds!
    I not really well versed on the whole pot odds thing. Its something that I really want to be able to understand, but I can't say I even know the basics. Could someone point me in the right direction of either a website or a book that explains pot odds in laymans terms????
  • Converting.
    I know how to get my pot-odds, but how do I convert them into ratios?
  • Quick Odds Question
    I am pretty good with odds, but a buddy had a question that I wanted to verify. I feel kind of silly even asking, but it is mainly semantics. Is the percentage of a hand PREFLOP represent the percentage of the time it wins if it goes all the way to showdown? For Example: Player 1: A :diamond:...
  • I'm really stuck and/or confused.
    I'm playing in a live £200 torny. There were 81 entrants (i think), I've been playing for what seems like 24 hours and am at the final table with five others. (I only entered this torny, because I won some money on the lotto!) The blinds are 400/800. I have 12,600 chips and am holding 55 'on the button'....
  • Winning Hand Count Distribution
    Had a horrible time coming up with a Subject to describe this post. I'm looking for a report or study on the distribution of the number of times a particular hand won out of a large number of hands (1,000 or more) at a 9- or 10-handed table. That is, if the report covers 1,000 hands it should read...
  • Drawing for the mid-low flush. What pot odds to chase?
    I believe you would need 4.2 to 1 to draw for the nut flush to have a postive expectation. But for King High Flush and lower, you would need better pot odds than 4.2 to 1, right. So what do you think they are? Heres a good example: You have 4h 5h on the small blind. You get 2 callers in front,...
  • AA vs KK odds?
    this happened in a recent game. can anyone tell me the odds on two players getting these hands? how could i work it out in the future? £5 home game (no rebuys) 8 players - one absoulte novice and one was semi novice. luckily the novices didn't win (i would of punched them) anyway down to three...
  • I'm not sure how to work the odds on this , help appreciated
    Just a simple question , and for simplicity sake , lets just say its A :spade: A :heart: VS 2 :diamond: 7 :club: Flop comes down; A :diamond: K :diamond: Q :club: What are the odds on runner runner flush? Thanks in advance~
  • Math on redraw
    My friend and I have been argueing about how the math works for this hand... (home game) I have ~8000 He has ~12000 (starting stacks were 12000, we have 12 people left of 20, top 4 pay) I am in BB w/ 3 :spade: 4 :spade: , one limper to me (bad player who I have played with quite a few times) I call...
  • What are the odds? =)
    PokerStars Game #4153707131: Tournament #20630341, 7 Card Stud Limit - Level IV (75/150) - 2006/03/02 - 19:47:42 (ET) Table '20630341 1' Seat 2: graper48 (1574 in chips) Seat 4: banjoman5 (1752 in chips) Seat 5: LeafsFan1122 (3573 in chips) Seat 6: HappyCobbler (2023 in chips) Seat 7: Dr. Sausage...
  • This was funny
    I start bitching at some guy for running down my KK w/ bottom pair. He rivers 2 pair w/ 85. My KK was an overpair and he was UTG. So anyway-after my remarks, he commented that he was 10:1 to make the turn call. The final pot was $100 (5/10 limit) and he check raised the river after hitting....
  • O dont believe it was a split
    Can someone tell me the split pot chances of 9 :heart: 9 :spade: 6 :heart: 6 :spade: desperate of a double up in a tourney i went all in preflop with a pair of nines.......flop came J 9 Q..........10...........K unbelievable ..... i had to laugh
  • Odds Question
    I stuck this here so it would get noticed, I post on another forum and there is a huge discussion about this and what the right way of finding the answer is. The Question is, 4 people sit at a table and are dealt all of the 52 cards, what is the chance that one of them has a pile of cards with a...
  • Non-Poker Probability Paradox
    Ok, consider these two situations and tell me if you can figure them out, because I can't... it's rather paradoxical. 1. You're on a game show where you get to keep whatever is behind one of three doors for you to choose from. Two doors have goats behind them, and one door has a car behind it. When...
  • Need better understanding of calculating odds to improve
    I've been playing for about a year now and I've had some success (even won a freeroll with 600 people in it but calculating odds is not my strong suit and I know I need a better understanding.. Pot Odds Odds Card Odds = 1:(Outs/Cards) Pot Odds = Pot/Bet Example Straight Hand 78 6...
  • effective odds
    can some explain how it works
  • odds of 3 ppl flopping a flush
    it was 6 handed flop coms 10 :heart: 9 :heart: 2 :heart: i have 6 :heart: 7 :heart: other player has 8 :heart: 3 :heart: adn the other guy had J:heart: 4 :heart: what are the odds of all of us flopping the flush???
  • I saw this on Card Player and I thought it was interesting
    Would anyone want to take this bet and run it 1000 times? I give you 3 hands, you pick one, and I pick one of the other 2. I will be a favorite EVERY time. This should be no suprise to anyone and it isnt hard to figure out what 3 hands I pick, but it makes you think.
  • Win me 20 bucks!!!
    A friend and I got into a huge argument the other day. Here was the situation - say there is a heads up match. One player is dealt 7-2 offsuit while the other is dealt 3-2 offsuit. Although I know that statistically 7-2 is the worst starting hand in poker, wouldn't it be favored in this situation? What...
  • Calculate win player (on the money)......
    Hi, Can I set the percentage or similar setting win ,or how I may know many money he win. Excuse me for my English, I'm Italian. Bye. :roll:
  • BETFAIR POKER EXCHANGE
    Does anyone have any good stratagies for playing betfairs poker exchange??? :spade: :heart: :diamond: :club:
  • Damn! I'm Drawing Dead! ................
    v Were my exact thoughts when i managed to get all in with A :diamond: K :club: v K :heart: K :diamond: v A :club: A :spade: At least i had them both well covered in chips..... Seat 1: makie (365 in chips) Seat 3: Smeg Head (2000 in chips) Seat 4: DeepRed2 (4430 in chips) Seat 6:...
  • So mad I could scream.
    Ok... what are the odds of this happening. 9 handed table. I have KQ :heart: . The flop is all :heart:. There are 2 others in the pot. The last two cards on the board are clubs. What are the odds one of the other players has the ace of hearts plus a heart kicker.
  • Making drawing hands fold.
    So I have read more than once that a good bet against a dangerous flop (with a straight or flush draw) is 2/3 the pot to a full pot bet. If you have a flush draw you have about 36% to hit your hand on the flop + turn combined. If you have a open-ended or double-gut shot straight draw you have about...
  • can't find a good odds calc. online
    i want to figure out if im holding a 10c 5s and there is 2 4 7 flop and 10 turn, and my hunch (based on checks and tells) is that I have the high pair. what are the odds of the other player having a 10 10, 10 J, 10 Q, or 10 K, or 10 A. I lost in a turnament to 10 J, thinking I had top pair. the...
  • A question about the pre-flop calculator
    I am working out some probabilities by hand and comparing them to the pre-flop calculator. I was hoping someone could tell me what I'm doing wrong on this one. If you have pocket aces what is the chance of getting 3-of-a-kind on the flop? I have 2/50+2/49+2/48 - 3/1225 - 12/1225 = 463/4200 = .1102 3/1225...
  • This was a true bad beat I took in a LIVE NL tourney...odds?
    I know many will BS..that's fine. I just want to know what the odds were. $75 entry NL tourney. @ 300 entries. Down to 5 people. UTG raises 2xBB. Only other caller is a guy who's been REALLY loose pre flop, raising ANY Ace rag and getting nailed because of it. So he calls. All fold around to...
  • Rule of 4.
    If you are using the rule of 4, and have 13 outs or more, should you call any size bet on the flop? I believe I have calculated the pot odds required to be less than 1, because your odds to win are greater than 50%. This is impossible - so should you always call any size bet if you are 100% that you...
  • What are these odds?
    I am in a tourney.. make past 1st break. Part way through heading to second break. I get moved(no problem). I get set next to the chip leader. 3X my stack. I go busted out against him.. all-in vs all-in. Still no problem.. I had A,Q(suited even) to his A,K(off suit)... Mind you this was 2nd hand dealt...
  • I need help with odds calculation
    I'm looking to take my game to the next level. I do well in kitchen games and have recently started a regular poker group at my college, but I really want to improve. I see people talking about "knowing" that if there opponent is on a flush draw then they have only a 30% chance of winning, so give...
  • 23 outs on flop? possible?
    My hand 5 :club: 7 :club: went something like this on flop (big blind special): 2 :heart: 4 :club: 6 :club: . I figured the guy has AK or AQ from his betting pattern (which he had AK) that put all in on the crap flop. I would have 9 clubs + 4 8s and 3s and 3 5s and 7s would technically give me 9+8+6...
  • Ace on the Flop
    Hi. I just had an interesing holdem fl session. It was a down session, nothing too crazy about that but just wanted to see if I am seeing the following odds correct. I played around 250 hands and out of those I held pocket pairs 21 times which is a little high for the number of hands that I played....
  • Puzzle (Non poker sorry)
    Sorry if you’ve heard it already and I know it’s not poker related but I just though it was cool. You’re in a room with 3 doors. 1 is the exit 2 lead to certain death You randomly pick a door. Before you open it, are you sure? Do you want to change and pick one of the other 2? Answer: Change...
  • Someone tell me my odds please?
    I just cashed in a MTT, final hand was: Me : 55 Villain1 : AKo Villain2 : ATo Obviously an Ace came on the flop and it's goodnight Vienna but what was my winning percentage I wonder? I'm guessing it was about 40% but I am intrigued.
  • Weird Odds
    Hi everyone, I'm new here, 19 years old. To my knowledge, to calculate the probability of hitting, you taking your # of outs, multiply by 2 and add 1. Where things get hazy is when I picture an entire deck of cards, and I plan to turn over 1 card; I want to calculate the probability of it being a...
  • Wondering my odds of winning here
    Post Fantasy Football Draft Poker. 7 handed, I get A :spade: J :spade: and put the rest of my chips in (3x bb). Had three callers, which were A :diamond: T :diamond: and A :heart: K :club: and a guy who was in when he called the blind with 2 low :spade: 's. What are my chances of winning...
  • Pot Odds in Shorthanded Games
    This is a new post that is a follow up to the one at http://www.texasholdem-poker.com/forum/t793/what-hands-to-play. The original thread talked about starting hands in shorthanded games but I'm writing about post flop play in limit. My preferred game is six-handed low limit ring game hold'em but...
  • Pot Calculating 4 Dummies?
    Hey guys i was looking for an easy fairly accurate way to calculate odds at the table. thanks.
  • Odds? They don't work for me.
    Seat 2: XXX1 ($1,450 in chips) Seat 4: Tadzio($1,570 in chips) Seat 5: XXX2 ($1,500 in chips) Seat 6: XXX3 ($1,480 in chips) Seat 7: Villian ($6,040 in chips) Seat 9: XXX5 ($1,500 in chips) Seat 10: XXX6 ($1,460 in chips) Every single dime the Villian has got has come from suck outs. Each time...
  • Odds question
    Lets say after the turn you have 20 outs that will win the hand for you on the river. That is a percentage of 42.55. Now lets say the pot is $2,000 before your call and to call it will cost $740. Can someone tell me how to relate the pot size and call with the percentage of your odds and whether...
  • +EV on the bubble ?
    Just for interest / discussion mind... A hand came up a few days ago. A 9 handed STT (w/ standard payout structure of $50/$30/$20) had boiled down to 4: blinds were 50/100 UTG: (6500) had A :club: K :club: Button: (850) SB: (7450) had 8 :heart: 8 :spade: BB: (3050) UTG makes it 200,...
  • Help me beat my dad at a argument
    My dad says theres no way you can find the odds of one guys hand beating another in a showdown pre-flop. I try to explain to him that theres only so many different combonations of 5 community cards. and one guys hand is going to win X number of times out of the total number of combonations. and the othere...
  • I don't get it... :'(
    I'm a nooby, and even after all this reading I've done, I still don't get Pot odds etc. Can someone very simply explain to me the point of pot odds and when to call or fold using it please?
  • Odds of 3 suited cards on the board after the river
    What are the odds of the board having 3 suited cards after the river? Seems to happen to me a lot but I generally don't have that suit...(!) Thanks,
  • how does 5c1 work?
    like if something is 5c1 or whatever it is, how does it work mathmatically.
  • What are the chances?
    What are the chances to get a full house of two different hole cards on the flop? If anyone knows I would appreciate an answer.
  • poker hand odds thingy...
    somone on here built a site where you can put any two hands up against each other and it will show you the odds and stuff.. i cant for the life of me find it... or remember the user that made it... can anyone help? :)
  • question about calc'ing odds with 3 to a flush...
    this is my first post on this site, so i hope i'm not being redundant by asking this question, as i don't know if it's been asked before, but here goes anyways. what i'm wondering is if when calculating my odds, and i've got 3 to a flush on the flop, should i be including the 10 remaining suited cards...
  • Anyone know the odds...
    Yesterday had the following happen... Player A gets QQ and goes all in. Player B calls with XX (don't remember) and beats the QQ. then... Player B gets QQ and wins a large pot. Player B gets QQ again and wins a large pot. Player B gets QQ again and wins a small pot. I'm not concerned so...
  • Suited Runners
    What are the odds of catching either a straight or a flush with suited runners from PF?
  • odds no one can beat board.
    What are the odds of dealing a board where no one can beat it. Example, four of a kind with Ace kicker on the board or four aces with a King on the board. Just asking because within one hour i saw boards of A3333 and AAKAA.
  • Great Pot odds
    If your sitting at a table of 9 and there seem to be alot of family pots how many people would see cheap flops in the small blind with Q4 K2 J5 A8 ECT... not monster hands but hoping to catch a good flop. blinds are low relative to chip stacks. Your getting great pot odds but what are the odds...
  • flop odds: hit an ace or trips
    what are the flop odds on hitting an ance OR trips. Eg. A8o. need to see trip 8s, trip aces or a single ace, or quads.
  • all-in odds question
    my opponent has gone all-in in heads up poker and i call, he has pocket 3's and i have queen jack offsuit. the flop comes 4c Ah 2h. 4th street then comes Jack of spades. So i am wondering what the odds are of him catching one of his few outs to beat my pair of jacks? And, in case you were wondering he...
  • losing with a set
    Last night I flopped four sets and lost with three of them. What are the odds of that?
  • How do you caculate odds at the table?
    If you 2 people are all-in, how do you caculate the odds of percentage of winning/losing. Is it a certain forumula, or do you take the pot odds and divide it or something? I take the pot odds, divide it by the remaining cards in the deck, and use that. But everytime i come up like 10-15% off. Is it just...
  • Pre Flop Raises with a 'Potential' Hand
    This post is to ask for confirmation or rebuttal for my feeling on how to play a 'potential' hand preflop if there is a raise (or two) in front of you. I define 'potential hand' to be something that can develop into a straight or a flush but isn't a hand in its own right yet. E.g., 10-J off suit, K4...
  • What are the odds of it?
    Just a mind-game. Join in if you like. Invent possible hands (I stress that they should be possible), and then post them for others to figure the odds of it happening. My contribution: Player1: A :spade: K :diamond: Player2: A :club: K :club: Player3: Q :heart: J :heart: Flop: A :heart:...
  • Pairs in a Row
    I'm playing online this morning and I catch four pocket pairs in a row. 2's, Q's, 7's, then 5's. I folded the 2's, folded Q's on the turn to big betting and A's overcards, won a decent pot on the 7's then won the blinds w/ a small preflop raise with the prestos. Since this is an odds forum:...
  • Odds?
    I got into a discussion today online about odds and such and since I feel I have learned a lot here I flexed my muscles a bit in the thread. So I will post snipits of it here in order to have you guys who really know your stuff tear me apart :P He said: Lottery = tax on people who are bad at math. I...
  • Odds?
    I searched online but couldn't find odds this detailed and was wondering if anyone had the #'s on a situation like this.. Normally I can run these myself, but I just woke up and I'm feeling braindead. I get Js7s in BB and check it. Flop comes 682, one of which is a spade. What're the odds of catching...
  • Set Over Set Over Set On The Flop!
    Another hand history i'm afraid :roll: ** Dealing card to DeepRed2: 6 of Hearts, 6 of Clubs pakpak called - $30.00 loosejuice called - $30.00 PADDA raised - $150.00 allyaspro folded ipreferhorse called - $150.00 Balroguk folded weaseluk folded DeepRed2 called - $150.00 villansuk69...
  • Reverse Implied Odds?
    What the hell are these? And how do I get them? I know I could buy a book and find out, but I'm cheap and lazy. Thanks for any help.
  • Odds of winning with particular hand vs. # of hands dealt
    There might be an obvious answer to this question, but if there is I haven't found it. What I want to know is this; Is there a chart, table, or simple formula that you can use to calculate your odds of winning with a particular hand, versus the number of hands dealt. Let me see if I can make...
  • using programs to calculate odds
    There many programs out there to calculate the odds etc. But someone told me once that poker sites don't like them and can ban you when using them? Is it true that party poker take a screenshot of you to make sure that you are not using them?
  • frequency of J+ pocket pairs
    Pre-flop, what is the probability that any one or more of my nine opponents holds a pocket pair, jacks or better, when I don't hold such a pair? This should be easy but I'm getting contradictory answers with different methods. Given 24 such pairs and 1225 possible hands, and working backwards from...
  • Odds of hitting trips if you have a PP
    The subject says it all really... What are the odds of hitting trips if you have a Pocket Pair? I ask because in my last 10 pocket pairs i have limped in and not hit trips... just wondered how often it 'should' happen! Whoever answers this, where did you get the info from? Is there a website...
  • Dealt pocket Aces twice in a row last night!
    Almost fell out of my chair! Anyway, whats the odds to all the math people out there? Best part is, they held up both times. Worst part, was playing 1/2 limit. Why can't I get hands like that in the sit n go's?
  • Outs and percentage
    In this fine website there are som good tips on how to improve your play in the game of poker. Now there is no doubt about the fact that the different odds in poker are very important to know when you are to figure out what to do next. This web site explains how to calculate your outs into percentage....
  • Doing the math...
    Math has never been a real strong point for me. I'm not saying I can't do simple math, it's just that I am not one of those who can just look and calculate fast in their head. I'm able to but it's just not instinct like it seems to be with alot of people. My question is how many of you actually...
  • Pot odds question
    This is probably really stupid, but I'll risk the embarrassment to get it clarified. Here's the specific situation that got me thinking about this question, although I think it applies to other types of pot odds questions as well. You are heads up on the river against one opponent, who bets half...
  • 20 Outs even
    Okay, trying to give someone an example about having pot odds and calling during a poker discussion. In said discussion, we're talking about how nine outs on the flop is 36%, eight is roughly 32%.. Everyone knows exactly what those odds are referring to, right? Flush and up and down straight draws....
  • Impossible odds
    Tonight I played in a poker game in which a guy i know went all-in 10 times in a span of 30 to 35 hands. He survived every all-in. :shock: so my question is, What are the approximate odds for surviving 10 all-in bets.
  • question about odds...
    so i played a hand the other day at a local pool hall. we have weekly (almost everynight) tourneys through a website that host these and keeps the points called barpoker.com. anyways, back to the story, so theres 8 of us at the table. 5 of us stay in to the flop. the flop was Q,10,5 (not sure...
  • counting chips to calculate pot odds
    anyone have trouble calculating the size of the pot in a live game hahahah? It seems simple but sometimes the action goes too fast with bets/raises/reraises that i have trouble keeping track of the amt of money in any given pot. I've been playing limit 3/6, 4/8 lately. I try to keep track of the amt...
  • How to work our probs like TV - WSOP, WPT etc.
    Hey all, I'm making a community access TV poker show with some mates, like our own personal version of all the TV poker shows. It's been years since I took, or had to use maths, and I'm trying to figuire out what the formulas/rules are for working out each hands chance to win is like on the shows,...
  • Interesting....does this make sense to people?
    We had a hand last night that was a HUGE pot, but there was some agruement over the odds. Player 1: A :spade: 10 :spade: Player 2: J :heart: J :club: Flop J :spade: Q :heart: 9 :spade: Now-the A10 (a VERY good player) bet the piss out of it, insisting that he was 60% favorite. Player...
  • interesting odds question
    heres an advanced odds question ... given that a certain card in on the board, what is the probably that the other 3 cards of the same rank are in the hands of the players?
  • Help me with a Easy Odds Q ,
    OK, This might be a easy one ... What pot odds must you be getting to Call no matter what 2 cards you are holding preflop? exclude any special conditions as in being near the $ or short stacked or v/s tight or weak ,strong or loose players. Just raw #'s .. So mabe the Q is what is the biggest dog...
  • Everybody Antes
    When we play at school, for some reason everyone has to put in a 5p ante. Here's the situation: Everyone pays the 5p ante. The cards are dealt. Then there's a round of betting before the flop. There's no blinds. And we're playing texas holdem btw. Usually I'm a pretty tight player but with...
  • How Probable Is This?
    I swear to god this actully happened last night in a $30 UB tourney I think we were at level 3. I'm In 4th position I flat call with QQ, MP raises, LP calls, sb Raises to about half my stack, without even factoring in M & LP i decide that this is the time to move all in on the sb and isolate him...
  • What's the probability of this?
    I'm just curious what the odds of both players in a heads-up game getting pocket aces is. Then, the probability of that happening the very next hand. I saw this in a Tiger Gaming tournament I was in . I'm not 100% sure, but this is what I tried: 4/52 * 3/51 * 2/50 * 1/49 Which equals something...
  • How do you calculate the probability of a hand?
    I was thinking about this today, and realized I have no idea. Take for example, I want the probability of me getting a royal flush on any given hand. Assuming both of my pocket cards are part of the Royal Flush, what is the chances, and how do you calculate this? I was thinking something along...
  • New Pot Odds Calculator
    We've got a new Pot Odds Calculator at http://www.texasholdem-poker.com/pot_odds_calculator.php make sure you read the stuff at the top :)
  • Winning / Winning Potential
    Winning / Winning Potential. I think if I just could remember the difference between these two I would have a much larger bank roll. I find that you sit down and on the first hand you limp in with 2 & 7offsuit and for whatever reason the next thing you do is look down and on the flop you hit 7,...
  • AKs vs AQs
    I was knocked out last night with AKs. I moved all in and was called by one other player with AQs. Now my mate and I were just discussing my chances at this point. He believes I was not much above a 50:50 chance to win but I think my odds were much better than this. Since my chance to win should...
  • is this worth getting?
    Hi guys, i've not been playing poker long but am addicted is it worth getting this? seems good software and a good price, sounds like it could help me out alot what do you think?? http://cgi.ebay.co.uk/ws/eBayISAPI.dll?ViewItem&category=68403&item=5171285691&rd=1&ssPageName=WDVW
  • omaha
    if you are holding 10 J Q K, what are the odds you will flop a broadway? How about the odds of making it all (including the turn and river)? I havent seen any charts for omaha that answer this kind of thing. maybe i just have looked enuff.
  • small suited connectors
    A few thoughts/questions 1. How often they have strong hands post flop 2. Expected value of leading before the flop 3. When to fold/chase 4. In relation to "severe" position play. I've been wanting to add these hands to my arsenal for a LONG time, but been very cautious as the old tight player...
  • Can a limit holdem backdoor flush draw be profitable?
    I was recently playing a $1/2 limit table on party. I had JdQd I call from early position, get raised and call. This is an extremely loose table especially preflop. Seven see the flop. I wiff the flop with the exception of one diamond. Preflop raiser bets, 4 callers 1 folder, and it's to me. I...
  • The ole' AQ vs. A3 suck out...
    I'm all in pre-flop with my AQ and get called by A3, flop comes 332 to bust me out of the tourney. If I'm correct in the other guy being a 3:1 dog, that still gives him a 25% chance to draw out on me over the next 5 cards. That seems really high given that there are only 3 cards in the deck that...
  • POT ODDS MADE SIMPLE
    I made an article on Pot odds on thepokerforum.com, I thought I would share it with you guys. What are Pot Odds? Pot odds is the ratio of the money in the pot compared to the amount of money to call a person's bet. It's a mathematical way to help you figure out to call a bet or not. Why use...
  • quick odds needed: hitting a backdoor flush . . .
    Got myself in a sticky situation where I needed a backdoor flush to get to the nuts. . . what are the odds on this?
  • Head to Head - Basic Odds Query
    When it comes to head to head (pre flop) we know that the low pair Vs 2 overcards is roughly a coin flip situation but what are the approximate odds for the following scenarios. Hopefully, these are things that someone may know off the top of their head. (1) One player has 2 cards BOTH higher than...
  • What are the odds?
    Me and my brother play Holdem all the time and it's getting annoying now for this reason: my brother thinks he's so good so he says he's got a good fealing about this hand and will go all in. I'll call him with AK off sute and he will show me 4 5 off sute. The flop will come and there will be something...
  • Probabilities that Opponents will flop a given hand
    Hi, I have been experimenting with Texas Calculatum, and I have noticed that the odds that an opponent, in say a 10 player game, of catching a hand (flush, full house, straight, etc.) are much higher than I had originally thought. Is there a book, article, or software that can help me better understand...
  • Standard deviation
    What is it exactly? What is a good number and what is a bad number? This is one statistic on my Poker Charts I do not understand. Thanks for any help.
  • Pre-flop favorites
    I have just realised i do not know how to work out the odds of one hand over another preflop? I assume it is to do with potential outs, but i noticed on another thread; AK is 3-1 favorite over AQ. I assume this would be because AK would win should no cards pair, but i don't understand where these...
  • can someone suggest.
    Can anyone suggestion a good texas hold'em free ware calculator program? I am running windows XP home addition.
  • when calling for pot odds do you include your bet?
    example: 5 callers not including you. when you call do you get 6:1 or 5:1? sorry, i should know this but I got confused two days ago and can't find my Lee Jones book.
  • Holy cats!! odds please
    5 dollar sit and go first hand. Dealt AK H , raised to me to 300 so I go in...then it gets raised to all in, another sees him, first raiser calls..I call too. (yes I know bad bad bad) anyhow...we all flip up and guess what..all four of us have ace king suited...ended up flushing to the club guy so...
  • Highest Low Pair off the flop
    Just wondering what people do in this situation, say you limp in with a weak hand or are on the BB with : 9-7 now up comes 2 5 7 - you now have the highest "low" pair on the flop - anyone consider this a strong play - what are the chances of pushing someone off the pot sitting with a KA or similar...
  • Pre-flop odds
    I have been playing a lot of hold'em for the last couple months and prefer to play a pretty mathmatical game. Along those lines, how do I go about calculating my odds pre-flop? If that is too hard to explain; say im in a limit game in late position and there are 4 limpers in front of me, I have JQs,...
  • Low Poket Pair Odds
    My friends were arguing about this last night. I had low pocket pairs two times (2s and 4s) and folded on both of them for about 10 or 15 cents in a two dollar game. Both times I made the set after I had folded. They all told me that I should have atleast seen the flop with them, but I disagreed because...
  • Can someone calculate these odds for me?
    Hi all, I've been looking for an odds calculator that includes other people's hands as well but haven't been able to find one. In my home game the other night we had three players all in (I had a little left over) and the cards went like this: Me: A8 off-suit Player 2: Pocket 10s Player 3:...
  • What's the probablity of this?!?!
    I was playing a friendly game of hold'em with my friends the other day. Well to make a long story short, I lose my four of a kind 8's to a royal flush! What are the odds of that happening? (heh, that's not a rhetorical question. specifically, what are the odds of a four of a kind higher than 8 losing?...
  • Odds question
    Hello all. First time poster, long time reader. I have a simple question about calculating odds in game. I calculate odd's based on how many outs are left. I know its different for each flop/turn/river, however don't most people round. The calculation i have been going buy is outs*2% per...
  • a question about how to understand pot odds
    hi. im new-ish to poker (well, new to the "math" part), and keep trying to understand how exactly im supposed to use and make sense of pot odds vs. odds of hitting my outs. i understand how if a person flips a coin 100 times and gives me $2 every time it hits heads and i pay $1 every time it hits tails,...
  • Calculating Odds at the table?
    Hello. Well first off, I'm a relatively new player, though I'm trying to get better. I've been reading both Sklansky's books, (havn't finished either,) and though I think I have a pretty good understanding of the theory behind the odds, but there has been just one problem: Figuring out the odds at the...
  • How do u calculate odds?
    is this a legit question of is it dumb? I'm realitively new to the game but i wanna up my play a level. all help is appreciated
  • URLs of free poker odds calculators for mobile phones?
    Does anyone know URLs of free poker odds calculators for WAP mobile phones in addition to these URLs: http://www.twodimes.net/poker/mini/ www.advmathappl.com/wap/THC1.wml ?
  • Pre-flop chances of making certain hands by the river
    Hello all! I have 3 rather basic questions: (1) If I have a 7 of clubs and an 8 of diamonds in the hole, what is the pre-flop % chance I have of getting a straight by the river? (2) If the board shows 3 cards of one suit and 2 cards of other suits after the river, what is the % chance that at least...
  • Please help. Need suggestion.
    Hey guys, Can someone please help me and tell me if this is for real? I cant use charts or anything like that due to my sitatuation so this seems to be a really helpful tool for me since I just starting out. So, please, any feedback will be helpful. PM me. The site http://www.holdem-hands.com...
  • Pot Odds Question
    I understand most pot odds, but in certain situations i get a little confused. Say you are dealth to suited cards, and call a raise preflop with 2 ohter players. Then on the flop you get two of your suit on the board, but theres checks all the way down to you...wat do you do? do you make the pot odds...
  • Math project skill v. luck
    Hey hs senior here doing a topic of choice math project and i decided on skill v. luck in poker. Anyone have any info or know any sites or articles regarding this subject? thanks
  • Odds charts
    This site has 2 great odds charts, one is "pre-flop for the flop", the other is "number of outs for the turn, river, and both". Does anyone know of a chart made for pre-flop hands and extends the odds to the river? Not quite as helpful as the other two, but I would like to know, for instances of pre-flop...
  • Outs vs "outs"
    Tell me if I'm a fool for this please.... NL cash game on PP, .25/.50 blinds. I get dealt AsJh. Mid raises to $2. I'm not overly fond of AJ, so I call. SB calls. Flop KsQd3s. UTG bets .50, mid calls, I call. Turn 6d (for those keeping score, there's 2 spades and 2 diamonds on the board). So...
  • Backdoor flush
    Could someone tell me the precentage and odds of hitting a runner runner suit to fill a backdoor flush. Thanks. And no lectures about not chasing backdoor flushes LOL
  • calculating out odds / pot odds
    hi, ive read that in a limit game (especially online ones) your odds of making an out and the pot odds are very important. so - if i have AK pre flop - and i want to work out my odds of making a pair - should i only take the top pair (i.e. Aces) or should i work out my chances of making either...
  • Joy of joys ... (luck or what?)
    The following is a summary of the hand I played a few night ago. I could have posted it under bluffing or hand analysis, but i think it's more related to odds and probabilities. Texas Hold'em Limit (3/6) ring game. Seat 1: A - Button (played 70% of flops to date) Seat 2: B (played 25%...
  • calculating out odds / pot odds
    hi, ive read that in a limit game (especially online ones) your odds of making an out and the pot odds are very important. so - if i have AK pre flop - and i want to work out my odds of making a pair - should i only take the top pair (i.e. Aces) or should i work out my chances of making either...
  • Counting Outs
    Can someone explain this to me? Do you just count outs that contibute towards the hand you want, or any possible hands? Can you count them at any time, or just post flop, pre flop etc? Any tips appreciated.
  • Can you help me find the link?
    Hello you all, I saw a link on one of these posts that I am having a hard time find again. The link led to a chart that broke down odds and percetages of making your hand on the turn and river based on how many people you are up against. It also broke down the precetage of your oponenets having another...
  • Push or Fold?
    Here's a situation that came up last night at Foxwoods... I won't tell how it was resolved for a bit. I'm sitting in late position with A10 in a short stacked position. Only two people called before the flop, so I come in for a raise. I get one caller, the other folds. The flop comes up 10, J, K...
  • 4 outs what odds?
    Ok heres situation Im confused here. I have AJ and flop is K,Q,x. Pot odds are currently 6 to 1. Im figuring on 4 outs to make my straight right? Now looking at Sklanskys Advance Holdem book in Appendix A chart on Probability. He has 4 outs listed at 16.5% chance of making the hand. I convert...
  • Odds On Trips
    I could go research this i spose but its just idle curiosity and i'll check back in a lilbit...... Say you got a pocket pair, whats the chances you're gonna have a set by the time hand is over?
  • Calculating Hitting cards on the flop/turn/river
    correct me if i'm wrong say i have bullets(A,A) and i want to calculate the chances of hitting another ace on the flop would the math be 2/50 because there is 50 unseen cards and 2 aces left in the deck if so ... does that mean i have 4% of hitting another ace on the flop how would i to calculate...
  • Why is a flush higher than a straight? Statistically equal..
    I've read that if you have an open ended straight draw at the flop, you have about a 32% chance of completing it. I've also read that a four-flush draw has about a 35% chance of completing (by river, of course). Since they are equally likely to happen, why is the flush worth more? Is it much more...
  • "Hand odds" calculation
    I was looking for a programmatic or formulaic (which I dont think there is a straight formula for this) way to calculate the "hand odds" like they do on WPT, WSP, etc TV shows. For example, they show 3 hands: AKs KK 10-J and next to the hands is the percentage for each to be able to win the...
  • I am sending an SOS to the world
    I have an odds question. In Doyle’s book he explains that the probability of another player having a pocket A, in a 9 men game, when an A flops is 80%. How does he figure that out? Also, is there a comprehensive chart that any of you can refer me that presents the odds of another player having certain...
  • pot odds and chasing question
    Say you play from the button with ace-4 suited hearts with 7 limpers which includes the big blind. You are therefore getting 7-1 pot odds. Now comes the flop of jack(clubs)-3 hearts- 7-hearts You therefore have the nut flush draw which is 4-1 chance of hitting. Since the 7-1 pot odds are greater...
  • an edge?
    If someone can accurately work out the exact percentage of their hand. And they can also accuratly work out the EXACT percentage of that hand being beat. Is this a major edge in a game such as fixed limit poker? where bluffing isnt as important.
  • Websites for Learning Odds????
    Where can a beginner learn odds and understand them??? Most websites have charts and graphs that take a MIT graduate to understand. The best one I found so far has online quizzes and flashcards that is really helpful for learning...that site is www.myepoker.com This website is okay and so is the...
  • Odds & Luck
    AK will pair up 40% of the time. If I have had AK and not paired either the A or the K for 3 times in a row, odds are (according to the 40% of the time statistic) really quite huge that I'm not going to miss hitting it next time, right? So my question is, is there good reason as to why we don't...
  • Q-7?
    has anyone ever heard something along the lines of queen-7 being the best hand to have because it has so many possibilities? I don't quite believe it myself, but was wondering if anyone else can shed some light on it.
  • Odds Chart That are On This Site. Confused
    I pasted whats below from the odds page on this very site and am a bit confused. I was always under the impression that if I am chasing a flush draw I need to be getting at least 4-1 pot odds to make it worth the chase, but if you'll notice on 9 outs the final number being overall odds for the turn...
  • Odds of a flush when holding suited cards pre flop....
    What are the odds of a flush when holding ANY 2 suited cards pre flop. Someone tonight told me they play ANY suited cards since its a 40% chance of a flush pre flop. I thought it was 38% or so only after the flop gives you 4 suited. Im just lookin for the % pre flop of getting the flush if holding...
  • odds calculator
    I had downloaded this awesome program in which you could have up to 10 players and input their starting hands, the flop turn river etc and it would give you the odds of winning for each player, as well as the odds of hitting your hand etc. well since then i had to format my computer and now i cant find...
  • Probability (bad beat?)
    This happened last night, and it pretty much wrecked me for the remainder of the session. I'm dealt pocket 7's. No one raises before the flop. Flop comes Q 7 4. Im thinking great theres my set. I start betting and one kid calls me (who ive never played with before). He makes small bets and I keep...
  • Help with probability (specific case)
    A while ago I had a gutshot straight draw in a home game. I figure I have 4 outs right. And clearly it is not worth calling whatever bet was made. In addition to that I can see the bottom card on the deck is one of the three cards i need (my dealer friend not knowing any better). would this make the...
  • Odds-calculator for PDA?
    I've started to play poker online rather much lately since I find it quite easy to win money... I'm no expert, far from, but I try to concider position of people betting and I belive I can read peoples play... My next step I guess is to learn all the odds for each hand... so I can be better.. Is...
  • What was that estamation odds thing in your head
    I forgot but someone posted and good estamtion thing to do in your head like multiply by 3 or something like that, does anyone remember what the real formation was?
  • 3x pocket aces
    What are the odds of getting dealt AA three times in a row. Side note: What are the odds of hitting trip aces twice in a row.
  • Odds Vs Number of players
    Does anyone know how the number of players affects the odds of winning? I can calculate the odds of winning based on what is in my hand and what is on the board, but this is for a two player game. I was wondering if it's possible to easily calculate the odds for games with the same cards on the...
  • Odds of a flush?
    What are the odds at a 9 player game that 1) Flop will have atleast 2 suited cards 2)someone will have 2 of the same suited cards that flopped 3)they will hit their flush if 1 and 2 are true
  • What would you rather goes heads up against pocket 8's with.
    My friend posed an interesting question: Let's say you check and everyone folds except one person. This person has pocket 8's and pre-flop goes all in. What would you rather go head to head against pre-flop pocket 8's with? Your options are suite 10-J or suite A-K. My opinion was the 10-J because...
  • Best pocket cards versus the Pocket Rockets?
    Let's say you are heads-up against someone with pocket Aces. It's preflop, and you look down at your cards. What would be the best hand against the pocket Aces at this point? I asked my friend this question last night, and he said, KQ suited. I thought, not bad, but the potential straights that...
  • Chasing flushes with pot odds
    Something has been nagging at me so you mathmaticians here tell me if I'm on the wrong track. As I understand it if you flop a 4 card flush draw the odds of hitting it on the turn or river is 4 to 1. It is an accepted practise that you only chase it if you have pot odds of 4 to 1 or better. But...
  • Link to a good chart
    posted this in the "Advanced Theory Discussion" but figure this is a better place for it. Here's a chart for outs and probabilities, both for the turn and the river. http://casinogambling.about.com/library/weekly/aa050103.htm
  • Thanks Adam...
    I appreciate your reply (for some reason I couldn't reply--invalid session), you are good man...thanks again. Everything you said actually makes sense. The game yesterday went well, I guess...See my post in Hand Analysis...It endednup being a $500 dollar buy-in, but the pot was over $6000 at one point....
  • odds of hitting a set
    If you get dealt pocket pair, what are the odds of catchin at least one of your card and therefore hitting a set or even 4 of a kind? Is it 1 - 48/50 * 47/49 * 46/48 * 45/47* 44/46 = 0.19? My friends are disagreeing and I want to prove them wrong? Can someone back me up on that? Thanks
  • odds
    ^^^^89s at the end=78s***^^^^ editting ...also yeah someone made a good point the 89s isnt at the same odds.
  • straight vs. 2 high pair on turn
    I usually stick to 1/2 and 2/4, but today I decided to try $5/10 for a change. I was already down big from two nut flush draws that didn't hit, and got AJ. I raised pre-flop with 3 callers. flop came AKJ. Two guys before me checked, I bet. The guy after me called, and one guy before me called, the other...
  • Quick odds question
    Let's say that you're holding 89 of spades, and the flop is 4 of diamonds, 6 of spades, and 7 of spades. Somebody else goes in holding A 4. You have 6 outs for an 8 or 9, 9 outs for a flush, and 6 outs for a straight (one each of the 5 and 10 are of spades). This makes 21 outs. Using the outs rule (X...
  • pair & backdoor draw
    Here's a situation I often find myself in: I have 8s, 9s. The flop comes Td, 8h, 2s. So I have 2nd pair, and back door draws to a straight and a flush. In this situation I usually see the turn, and if a 7,8,9, J or spade comes, I see the river. What usually happens is, I hit a card that gives...
  • workings of a calc
    sorry for not contributing before asking a question. this is my first post on the boards. i'm interested in how holdem calcs, specifically the one at cardplayer.com work. am i right in thinking the prog runs a set of simulations given the user-provided starting info and just reports the results....
  • Percentile of winning hands figure....
    Here is a question I want the answer to...I am quite sure the math wizard players in the WSOP figure this number somehow.... I am sitting after all 7 cards are seen by me...before the final bet... I have calculated the nuts and I don't have it... Let's say I have a strong two pair... What...
  • What are the odds of one losing when...
    having two of the highest pair off the flop?
  • Help with odds?
    Ok, not only do I need to know WHEN to apply the knowledge of odds, but also how to do it. Let me know if this is right... So you have a deuce 7, flop is J,Q,K. You have 6 outs right, so you multiply that by 4 because there are 2 cards yet to come out. That's a 24% chance of getting a 2 or a 7... why...
  • Question Concerning Pot Odds/Positive Expectation
    Well, I'm not sure if this concerns Positive Expectation directly, but I do have a question. I was playing poker with my buddies on Friday night, and I was involved in a hand where I was dealt Kh-3h. It was a four player game, I was in the big blind, and I checked to see the flop. Flop comes 2d,...
  • drawing hands: a probability question
    i've heard that the probability of hiting a flush draw is roughly 35%, and so if pot odds are atleast 3:1, you should go for it. But there seems to be a problem with this reasoning. If I draw one card and miss, the chance that I will hit my flush on the river is about 6:1, so I would need at least those...
  • what are these odds?
    Interesting finish to a SNG, I had 5600TC in a $30 SNG. 2 other players, both had about 1200. I am in the small blind (400/200 blinds), button goes all in. I call w/ A8 off suit, big blind calls. Cards come A and a bunch of junk, I win. Button had J10 suited, big blind had 88. Question-who...
  • Odds ......need help!!!!
    It may be not poker related but it is realted to odds.... Can anyone explain to me how odds work? I am referring to horse racing and in particular to the Kentucky Derby where the winner Smrty Jones had : 10:20 6:20 4:80 Second place: Lion Heart had: 8:20 5:80 Third...
  • % to odds
    :lol: would appreciate anyone explaining how to change percentages numbers to odds. robertbbb
  • I challenge someone to figure this out
    Here's my challenge: If you are dealt pocket KKs, in late position, and there is no raise to you and there have been a couple of callers, consider what happens if you raise in a limit game of 1/2. If your raise does not succeed in thinning the field at all (or maybe eliminates just 1-2, leaving...
  • More on probability and odds
    I wanting to know if anyone knows of a list of hands and odds any where on the interent. I understand there is to many factors in every hand to tell exact odds but I would just like a quick overveiw. I'm not talking about a top ten hands list either.
  • Implied odds with pocket pairs. Input appreciated.
    I wanna discuss the importance of "implied odds" as opposed to "current odds". Alright, lets say your at a $5/10 limit hold'em game, for simplicity sake. Your dealt low-medium pocket pairs, for example 4-4, and its 1 bet to call when it comes to you. You call the bet along with 2 others, so its...
  • okay I need some HELP with one thing
    Okay In one of my Politcal Msg Boards i talk on in there GT secetion there is a quistan if the guy was cheated or not. he folded Two Pair. The hand ended with a Four of Kind,Two Straghts and a Flush everyone But me is saying there was cheating Invoved becuse the odd's are so againce the...
  • So how do you figure your % chance in winning a hand?
    I'm really starting to get into the mathmatics of the game. However, there's one thing I keep reading that I can't figure out. It concerns pot odds. It says if you're getting 10-1 pot odds and you have better than 10-1 odds at winning the hand, you should play it. So how do you figure out what...
  • Figuring out odds....
    Please enlighten me and explain why 4:1 odds =20 %? Shouldnt be 25%>? What is 5:1? What's the easiest formula to convert odds in percentages?
  • What are the odds worth playing?
    Hi everyone, I am relatively new to the poker world and I try to get as much inof as I can by surfing the web and playing on line. My question is regarding odds.....When is it worthwhile playing a hand? What are the best odds? Would 4:1 be the cut off line? Thanks
  • odds of full house on board
    I have tried to find this using odds calculators but can't seem to find odds on just the board....can anyone tell me a site that will let me calculate a full house coming out on the board? Thanks so much...nice to be here...
  • Heads Up Odds
    Can anyone help me? My brother and friend were playing heads up Hold'em the other night and I wanted to know if anyone knew the probablitly of this hand. My friend was dealing and dealt my brother pocket aces and my friend dealt himself pocket twos. Then the flop came ace, two, two. My brother flopped...
  • LOOKING FOR A COMPUTER PROGHRAM THAT CALCULATES ODDS
    i was reading a book called tournament poker for advanced players and the author suggested getting a program like his that lets you punch in your hand against one other hand or a random hand and then spit out the probability you have of winning. the author wasnt kind enough to tell where he got his so...
  • Odds of making a pair of Aces
    Does anyone know what the odds would be when holding an A-x and no other aces are flopped but then sticking in the game and turning or rivering 1 more ace to make a pair? I'm just wondering if at times the odds make it worth staying in for if there are no flush or straight draws on the board and...
  • need help finding a poker calculator...
    Ive heard of some different programs that you can download that will calculate the odds for you given different situations in a texas holdem game. does anyone know where I can find this valuable tool?
  • odds chart or calculator for starting hands
    I am looking for an odds calculator or chart that tells what the odds are of each starting hand winning. I have used the calculator at cardplayer but it requires you to input the other players cards. In a normal game I only know what my hand is & would like to know the odds for each starting hand. Thanks...
  • suited pocket, what are odds of a flush/draw at flop?
    I'm just beginning to explore poker odds, and I'm not sure about the math on this. How do I calculate the odds of a flush draw, and better yet a flush, at the flop? Note: I'm a newb to poker, and I've been calling on almost all suited cards 9 and up, or on any suited connected cards. Suppose I'm...
  • Very serious Betting Odds question?? Please Advise....
    I have been mildly successful in a few local "for charity" tournaments. I am using only math I have learned in school and read no books on hold'em. I am an accomplished bridge player and love cards in general though.... Here is my question.... We will use the flush draw as the example for simplicity... I...
  • Calculating Odds
    All, On this site are a series of small articles about calculating odds. While informative, I have a question about the way things are worded. Perhaps I missed this part, but I'm sure one of you can clear it up. On the following page, http://www.texasholdem-poker.com/odds1.php, the example is...
  • what would the odds be....
    Can someone please help me out with this. I'm a horrible Math person Suppose I have K-10off, in a 10 player, and the flop comes AAK. What are the odds of someone holding an A? Ive seen some things such as: 5 Players, there's an A on the flop. Chances a player has an A in their hole are 1.7...
  • Challenged in math, question about figuring odds
    3/10 I don't understand and I'm really confused about the explanation of figuring odds. You're in a Hold em game. You hold two 7's. Two are left in the deck and the flop comes and so five cards are out of the deck and your odds of getting any one or two of the remaining 7's are based on calculating...
  • What are the odds?
    In my current session of poker I have been dealt 119 hands... and in those I have been dealt pocket aces 7 times...I have had other pocket pairs 9 other times.. Needless to say I am having a great day... lost the pocket aces once I just can't imagine that in 120 hands I have been dealt....more...
  • Correct Probabilites
    Where can I find correct probabilities? Some sites I go to seem to have wrong information or at least information that differs from other sites. For example, Mike Caro's site has different information for the probability that no player has an Ace when you don't have one than pokertips.org. (Caro's...
  • Calculation of an odd - Help
    Hi, I read in Lee Jones book that once you've flopped four to a flush, you are a 1.9:1 dog to make it by the river and if you flop an open end straight flush draw, you are a 1.2:1 favourite to make a straight or better by the river. I don't understand how these calculations are made. Any help...
  • Calculating Pot Odds Question?
    When there is 200 dollars in the pot, and you have to put in 10 to call, which would then put 210 dollars in the pot, would you guys call that 20 to 1 pot odds or 21 to 1. I feel like 190 in the pot with 10 to call making 200 equals 20 to 1 pot odds. I know this only a small difference, I am...
  • quick and dirty way of calc'ing odds?
    was reading on some site that to calculate odds of hitting take your outs multiply by 2 and add 2 to get the percent.... compared it with some other ways I've seen and it is usually pretty close, most times a bit higher % was wondering if anyone used this method and if so have they had any success?
  • converting percentages to odds
    This is killing me. How do you convert say 40% to odds? What would the math look like? I've tried to figure it out using easy numbers such as 10%, but when I get to odd numbers such as 17% or 28% I have no idea. I'm sure one of you math gurus can show me. In Ken Warren's book he says "When your...
  • Horoscope Lucky Cards= Right...
    hey...ok heres the deal... i got a month long horoscope and it said my lucky cards Ace of spades & clubs Jack of diamonds 5 of hearts well in a tourney i got the Jd and 5h a 2652:1 chance... (1 outta 52) * (1 outta 51) right? so i played it cuz the horoscope said they were lucky figured...
  • Figuring outs percentages
    As I understand it you take your outs and divide that by cards left, ie 9/46=19.6% or 9/47=19.1%. In Ken Warren Teaches Texas Hold-em he shows the odds of 9 outs w/2 cards to come as 35%. I don't know how to figure this, but when you think about it aren't your odds greater with 2 cards to come because...
  • Anyone figure out the odds on this
    Just wondering, I picked up a royal flush in a hold em poker game. Yes thats special, but this came against a 4 of a kind. Can anyone figure out the odds of a royale and a 4 of a kind coming on the same hold em hand, with only 4 community cards turned over.
  • Two Pair Outs... A Sklansky question
    I have a question that I"m hoping someone could answer. It's an "outs" question. I was looking in Sklansky's Advanced Hold "em on the probability section. In it, it shows the percentages for four outs. Obviously, I understand how four outs on an inside straight draw works. But, it also lists "two pair"...
  • Legit way of calculating odds?
    Standard formula for figuring odds...take the number of unknown cards after the flop 47(3 card flop and the 2 cards you're holding of course for 52) and divide it by your number of outs. So if you're looking at a standard flush equation...you've got pocket clubs 2 clubs come on the flop...that leaves...
  • Computing Two Pair Odds
    Can anyone tell me what the formula would be to compute the chance of getting two pair in the flop when you have none in your hand? Ex: 8 7 o Flop: 897 or Flop: 899 Thanks Robert
  • a little more odds
    The odd of hitting full house on the flop with two unequal cards in your hand is 0.1%. ...of hitting 4 of a kind on the flop with 2 unequal cards in your hand is 0.008%. thse same thing but just with two equal cards in your hand: full : 1% 4 : 0.24% Any commnets? Does it seem right? Anyone?
  • Flop contains trips
    I've been practicing at a new online site and have been seeing some odd things. In four days (maybe 1500 hands), I've seen 6 flops contain 3 equal cards. I am seriously doubting this sites random card generator. Anyone know the odds of the flop containing 3 equal cards? And if you have no life......
  • I got a math problem for you...
    So I'm no Mike Caro, but I was thinking about simplifying a way to figure outs on the turn and river combined. I did a little 9th grade algebra and came up with the problem below. It seems to work, but once again, I'm no math genius. Any comments? x=# of outs after the flop y=probability of hitting...
  • Books on Stats and Odds
    Hi everybody my names jerry and I have been playing hold em for about 6 months. I've purchased a couple of David Sklasky's books but I am having trouble understanding the way he talks about odds and implied odds. Is there any other book out there that gives an easy explanation of odds or is Skansky...
  • To win with odds!
    Hi, I am running a great site - http://www.soccerratings.info - dealing with ratings for more than 250 football/soccer teams around the world. These ratings are designed to be the basis of profit betting against bookmakers. So far, the profit is enormous. Registration for my newsletter, where...
  • A question about straight odds...
    I read some stuff about odds and was wondering if anyone can confirm or deny the following: Option 1. Up and Down Straight Let's say I'm holding K,Q of any suit and the flop shows J,10,5. All I need is A or 9 for the straight, are the odds 5-1? Option 2. Gutshot Straight Let's say I'm holding...

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