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Hand analysis



Posted Tue May 24, 2005 2:55 pm GMT by Blackie
hi, im doing a science project and i need to know the formula for figuring out the hand percentages. There are programs that do it for u but i need to be able to show the actual math involved. Thanks

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Posted Sat Jun 11, 2005 6:22 pm GMT by thilorek
these programs run a so called "monte-carlo simulation". you can find it in several math-books.


Posted Sun Jun 12, 2005 6:25 am GMT by gol4pro
There's no formula. There just isn't. the only way to calculate it is to go through every possible situation.


Posted Wed Jun 15, 2005 11:30 pm GMT by matt_h673
I agree with you completely, there really isn't a formula.


Posted Thu Jun 16, 2005 2:42 am GMT by snoogins47
Blackie wrote:
hi, im doing a science project and i need to know the formula for figuring out the hand percentages. There are programs that do it for u but i need to be able to show the actual math involved. Thanks


Hint: think of it like a really complicated coinflip. If you flip a coin, there are two outcomes. If you take "heads," 1 wins, and 1 loses. This would be comparable to a 50% equity in poker.

Except in hold'em, there's about 1.7 million possible outcomes when you're running two specific hands hot and cold against each other.

A more interesting science project might relate to the differences between a monte carlo simulation and a method that fully enumerates all the possible outcomes, perhaps the pros and cons of both...

But I'm not going to do your homework for you. For shame.



Posted Thu Jun 16, 2005 5:51 am GMT by Muck
Blackie wrote:
There are programs that do it for u but i need to be able to show the actual math involved. Thanks

You could explain how it’s done using a probability tree expanded for every board card possibility.
(The one below involves pulling two coloured balls out of a bag containing 1 red, 1 yellow and 1 blue ball. A card tree would start with a single root into 48 branches, then 47 branches from each of them and so on)

That’s maths related and teachers love diagrams they offer break from reading text and make the page look stylish Smile






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