Odds of winning with particular hand vs. # of hands dealt |
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Posted Sat Jun 11, 2005 1:58 am GMT by dlakey
There might be an obvious answer to this question, but if there is I haven't found it.
What I want to know is this; Is there a chart, table, or simple formula that you can use to calculate your odds of winning with a particular hand, versus the number of hands dealt.
Let me see if I can make myself a little bit clearer here. If I am sitting at a full table of 9 or 10 other players and I draw a pair of 10's, I'm going to be very cautious about how much money I throw at this pair, because with 8 or 9 other hands out there, it would be highly probably that someone else at the table has a better hand. By the same token, if I am sitting at a table and it is down to 2 or 3 players and I have this same pair of 10's, I would be much more likely to throw alot more money at it because my chances of winning with the pair of 10's is much greater.
I am envisioning a chart which would run from a very low high card, essentially trash which would give a very low probablility of winning at a table of 10 hands, up through a Royal Flush with a 100% chance of winning or tying regardless of the number of hands dealt.
If anyone would like any clarification on my question feel free to ask, and if anyone knows where I can find such a chart or table please let me know.
thanks
Dan
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Posted Sun Jun 12, 2005 1:37 am GMT by dlakey
I am wondering if my questions is not clear, or am I not getting any responses because there is no such thing.
Essentially I am wanting to know what the probabilities of any particular poker hand winning at any particular time, and how those probablilities relate to how many hands are dealt.
Dan
Posted Sun Jun 12, 2005 3:39 pm GMT by Iron Butt
I've seen this kind of thing in books, don't know where to get it online. Really I think the "answer" to your question would be more a statistical treatise on poker than a handy chart somewhere. "Winner's Guide to Texas Hold'em" by Ken Warren has a better odds section than most, lots of charts of this nature.
I think you're looking at this from a bad angle though. So looking at one of these charts, I see that TT is 60% to win with 3 players. Great... but the flop comes As Ks Js and you have no spades. Whoops, there goes your 60% and you better not be in there swinging thinking you're still a big favorite. For hand selection and preflop play you might want to Google "Sklansky groups". Postflop I'll go out on a limb and say that a raw statistical figure on how often a given hand should win against X opponents is completely useless in any specific hand.
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