Posted Tue Dec 13, 2005 6:36 pm GMT by lilitu
I've been playing NL hold'em coming up to a year now. More recently I've been sitting in the cash game at my local casino.
My question takes two parts:
A: How many hours do I need to log at the game to get an hourly rate figure which is accurate?
B: To what extent if any is this affected by: the limit (the buyin / blinds), the number of players, and the play at the table (eg tight aggressive).
Thoughts appreciated.
Lilitu
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Posted Tue Dec 13, 2005 6:47 pm GMT by supafrey
The more players in the game, the better chance the hourly will be close to the average. (Less variance at FH, right?)
Other than that, I'm gonna be a wuss and say a couple hundred thousand hands =P
Heck, scan's been calling me a newb despite me showing a cash flow for nearly that.
Posted Wed Dec 14, 2005 4:28 am GMT by rodders
hi Lilitu im also from yorkshire, and have been looking for a decent cash game, which casino do you go to and what is the structure they have there. my local casino only dos pot limit tournies no cash games as yet.
cheers
Posted Wed Dec 14, 2005 7:48 am GMT by TheSalche
seems like ~ 100 hours for live play gives you a decent estimate ... if you want a better estimate do this
every time you play record time played and net money
then figure out how much you'll win vs. lose in a given week (i.e. 3 winning sessions to 2 losing sessions)
find the average of your winnings days, multiply it by the percentage (60% here), subtract your average losses, multiplied by that corresponding percentage
oh hell, just do the math
Posted Wed Dec 14, 2005 2:05 pm GMT by lilitu
| Quote: |
find the average of your winnings days, multiply it by the percentage (60% here), subtract your average losses, multiplied by that corresponding percentage |
errr what?
So you're saying upwards of 100 hours.
Any more thoughts?
Lilitu
PS: rodders I PM'ed you about the cash game.
Posted Wed Dec 14, 2005 11:40 pm GMT by supafrey
wayyyyy more than 100 hours.
Posted Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:08 am GMT by Aves
for A: It depends on what degree of confidence you want. Just to tell if you were a winning or losing player, I would say at least 1000 hours. To tell how much of a winner or loser you are, maybe at least 10000 hours.
for B: Short-handed games and overaggressive games increase the variability. I would guesstimate that you would have to multiply the above numbers by 1.5 or so.
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