Quick Question RE:Bluffing and pot size... |
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Posted Tue Dec 20, 2005 12:37 am GMT by Cyberhwk
I find this happens a lot in passive games (low limit S&G). I have a free ride in the BB with 74 or something, 3 limpers, flop comes KK7.
I love bluffing when the board is paired. I found it works about 70% of the time and even when it doesn't at least you can be reasonably sure you're beat as you'd only get a call/re-raise from someone who has you beat or on extremely rare occations an astute player who's caught on to your ruse.
Unforunately, in this situation there's only 4BB in the pot. In this situation people usually see bets as a % of their stack. A 2-3BB bet isn't going to get anyone off and mathamatically I don't see how there's value in making a pot sized bet to win an = sized pot (mathamatically shouldn't this have to work 100% of the time to justify a pot sized bet?).
Is there any value to bluffing here? My mind is telling me no, but experience is telling me yes.
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Posted Tue Dec 20, 2005 4:29 am GMT by Muck
| Cyberhwk wrote: | | (mathamatically shouldn't this have to work 100% of the time to justify a pot sized bet?). |
To have +EV it has to work >50% of the time.
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