Need better understanding of calculating odds to improve |
|
Posted Fri Jan 06, 2006 10:54 am GMT by Peteus
I've been playing for about a year now and I've had some success (even won a freeroll with 600 people in it but calculating odds is not my strong suit and I know I need a better understanding..
Pot Odds
Odds
Card Odds = 1:(Outs/Cards)
Pot Odds = Pot/Bet
Example
Straight
Hand 78
6 9 2 A
8 Outs - 46 cards left (52-2-3-1=46)
1:(46 / "8") = 1:5.75 to hit straight
Pot = $100
Bet = $20
1:(20 / 100) = 1:5 = 5% chance to make money
= fold since 1:5.75 < 1:5
Do I just know enough to be dangerous or am I close? lol
Did you know that participating in a poker forum can help you improve your own game? Be it by sharing experiences or simply asking for help, participation in a forum helps you focus and keep 'on topic' which will help you improve your game. You can learn from other players feedback and from their experiences. Why the THP poker forums? We offer one of the best managed texas holdem poker forums available, and the community within is far more friendly than those typicaly found on other sites. We've made a 'lurkers edition' of the poker forum available here on Holdem Poker Online, but we encourage all visitors to register and join in on the conversations on TexasHoldem-Poker.com
Posted Fri Jan 06, 2006 2:18 pm GMT by Peteus
I think I get it now. I made an excel spreadsheet to figure it out..
The formula for counting card odds is ((50-B2)-B1)/B1)
B2 = Cards on Table
B1= Outs
So it is bad cards/good cards
Pot is easy Pot/Bet
When Pot comes out higher stay in
Posted Fri Jan 06, 2006 2:30 pm GMT by Sid Lambert
We have plenty of pages that talk about calculating odds, as well as some calculators...
in your example tho....using our pot odds calculator you can see that you have a little better than about 1 in 6 odds to hit a straight and the pot only needs to be 77.50 in order for call to make sense.....you have to remember that you can win the bet and your call back....so essentially the pot size is 140 in your case if you were to call...thats assuming you meant that the pot is 100, and yer facing an incoming bet of 20....basically just remember that a flush draw is 1 in 5 and a straight draw is 1 in 6.....if you have only one card to see.....if you've got 2 cards to see then its more like 1 in 3 in either case.....but remember, if they could bet again before you get to see that last card, so keep your implied odds in mind....so compare the pot, the incoming bet and your call....all of that compared to your call....1 in 5 (your call) in (call + bet+ pot)....if the proportion in chips is 1 in 6 or 1 in 7 or higher then, yer good for a call (or raise)
|
|
