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Runner runner eights...
Posted Thu Mar 09, 2006 3:49 am GMT by Ewi Real Money Ring Game
Table Name Hand ID Game Stakes
The Mississippi 4914966-87448 Omaha Pot Limit $0.05/$0.10
Mar 9 07:57:55 : Hand Start.
Mar 9 07:57:55 : Seat 1 : ariesdragon has $21.11
Mar 9 07:57:55 : Seat 2 : 325i has $0.85
Mar 9 07:57:55 : Seat 3 : Ewi has $29.47
Mar 9 07:57:55 : Seat 4 : dasmac has $22.19
Mar 9 07:57:55 : Seat 5 : clart has $35.83
Mar 9 07:57:55 : Seat 6 : mckay85 has $2.38
Mar 9 07:57:55 : Seat 7 : sid&kim has $11.77
Mar 9 07:57:55 : Seat 8 : wisien286 has $11.86
Mar 9 07:57:55 : Seat 9 : kyvee has $9.01
Mar 9 07:57:55 : dasmac is the dealer.
Mar 9 07:57:55 : clart posted small blind.
Mar 9 07:57:56 : mckay85 posted big blind.
Mar 9 07:57:56 : Game 87448 started with 9 players.
Mar 9 07:57:56 : Dealing Hole Cards.
Mar 9 07:57:56 : Seat 3 : Ewi has Ah 2d Jh Qd
Mar 9 07:58:00 : sid&kim folded.
Mar 9 07:58:08 : wisien286 called $0.10
Mar 9 07:58:09 : kyvee called $0.10
Mar 9 07:58:10 : ariesdragon folded.
Mar 9 07:58:14 : 325i folded.
Mar 9 07:58:15 : Ewi called $0.10
Mar 9 07:58:15 : dasmac called $0.10
Mar 9 07:58:18 : clart called $0.05
Mar 9 07:58:22 : mckay85 raised $0.40
Mar 9 07:58:27 : wisien286 called $0.40
Mar 9 07:58:34 : kyvee called $0.40
Mar 9 07:58:36 : Ewi called $0.40
Mar 9 07:58:36 : dasmac called $0.40
Mar 9 07:58:40 : clart folded.
Mar 9 07:58:40 : Dealing flop.
Mar 9 07:58:40 : Board cards
Mar 9 07:58:46 : mckay85 checked.
Mar 9 07:58:48 : wisien286 checked.
Mar 9 07:58:50 : kyvee checked.
Mar 9 07:58:55 : Ewi bet $2.60
Mar 9 07:58:55 : dasmac folded.
Mar 9 07:58:57 : mckay85 called $1.88 and is All-in
Mar 9 07:58:59 : wisien286 called $2.60
Mar 9 07:59:01 : kyvee folded.
Mar 9 07:59:01 : Dealing turn.
Mar 9 07:59:01 : Board cards
Mar 9 07:59:05 : wisien286 bet $0.80
Mar 9 07:59:10 : Ewi called $0.80 and raised $11.28
Mar 9 07:59:14 : wisien286 called $7.96 and is All-in
Mar 9 07:59:15 : Showdown!
Mar 9 07:59:15 : Seat 3 : Ewi has Ah 2d Jh Qd
Mar 9 07:59:16 : Seat 3 : Ewi has Ah 2d Jh Qd
Mar 9 07:59:16 : Seat 6 : mckay85 has 3s Ks Kc 5c
Mar 9 07:59:16 : Seat 8 : wisien286 has Jc 2s Ad 8d
Mar 9 07:59:21 : Board cards
Mar 9 07:59:21 : Seat 3 : Ewi has Ah 2d Jh Qd
Mar 9 07:59:21 : Ewi has Two Pair: Aces and Queens
Mar 9 07:59:21 : Seat 8 : wisien286 has Jc 2s Ad 8d
Mar 9 07:59:21 : wisien286 has Full House : 8s full of Aces
Mar 9 07:59:22 : wisien286 wins $18.01 with Full House : 8s full of Aces
Mar 9 07:59:22 : Seat 3 : Ewi has Ah 2d Jh Qd
Mar 9 07:59:22 : Ewi has Two Pair: Aces and Queens
Mar 9 07:59:22 : Seat 6 : mckay85 has 3s Ks Kc 5c
Mar 9 07:59:22 : mckay85 has Two Pair: Kings and 8s
Mar 9 07:59:22 : Seat 8 : wisien286 has Jc 2s Ad 8d
Mar 9 07:59:22 : wisien286 has Full House : 8s full of Aces
Mar 9 07:59:22 : wisien286 wins $7.83 with Full House : 8s full of Aces
Mar 9 07:59:27 : Ewi : ...
Mar 9 07:59:36 : Hand is over.
Does anyone know the odds of him catching two cards like that after being so ridiculously crushed on the flop?
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Posted Thu Mar 09, 2006 2:26 pm GMT by xDiamond_CutteRx The odds of running cards of a particular index when there only three left in the deck is somewhere around 0.3%... I should know.
Posted Thu Mar 09, 2006 8:36 pm GMT by Tadzio Mar 9 07:59:16] : Seat 3 : Ewi has Ah 2d Jh Qd
Mar 9 07:59:16 : Seat 6 : mckay85 has 3s Ks Kc 5c
Mar 9 07:59:16 : Seat 8 : wisien286 has Jc 2s Ad 8d
Mar 9 07:59:21 : Board cards
Wisien286 had 8 outs to hit 2 pair on the turn (9 if we ignore the 2 in your hand) and then 2 outs to fill up on the river without you making a bigger boat.
(9/45)*(2/44) =
(0.2)*(0.045) =
0.9%
If we take into account Mckay85's hand as well as yours the numbers become:
