When you hit a flush with suited cards , odds that .... |
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Posted Mon Mar 27, 2006 7:07 pm GMT by kainARGH
someone else hit the flush with you , also with suited cards ( well duh  ) ?
Just wondering , every now and then you see a flush walk into a higher flush , but how likly is it?
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Posted Mon Mar 27, 2006 7:25 pm GMT by Sid Lambert
well, it depends on whether it happens on the flop, turn or river...cuz by the river there are more cards that they cant have...plus it obviously matters if there is 3 to a flush, 4 to a flush, or a board flush
i mean you can figure it out mathematically, but realistically, if there is a bunch of betting, the chances of somebody having 23s for example w/ a bunch of overcards after several rounds of betting would probably be small...so, knowing that small flushes can't be in the hand will change the numbers severely....
its generally a pretty small chance tho 
Posted Mon Mar 27, 2006 7:34 pm GMT by kainARGH
| Sid Lambert wrote: | | its generally a pretty small chance tho |
Yea , specifically , i was asking if there is 3 hearts out there and you have 2 hearts in the hole , how likly is it that someone has 2 hearts in the hole with you.
I hate when bad players think they're weak , so you feel you have the hand , then they turn out jsut slightly stronger then you.
Like today , flop came K K 6 2 spades , everyone checks , turn is 4 of spades , putting 3 spades on board. Ive got a 9 high flush , and oddly enough now the first guy bets out ( i put him on flopping the trips ) and then the next guy just calls , looking very weak. I figured him for either trips bad kicker or maybe a smaller flush , after eh calls , i make a large re-raise , trips guy calls , then other guy goes all in. confused , i call.
He said he thought i had a full house , and was even reluctant to flip over his flush. Then he turns over a j high flush to my 9 high flush , and all the while im thinking ugh , why does he think hes loseing , and thus giving away weird tells.
Posted Sat Apr 08, 2006 4:26 am GMT by jimmer
| kainARGH wrote: |
I hate when bad players think they're weak , so you feel you have the hand , then they turn out jsut slightly stronger then you.
Like today , flop came K K 6 2 spades , everyone checks , turn is 4 of spades , putting 3 spades on board. Ive got a 9 high flush , and oddly enough now the first guy bets out ( i put him on flopping the trips ) and then the next guy just calls , looking very weak. I figured him for either trips bad kicker or maybe a smaller flush , after eh calls , i make a large re-raise , trips guy calls , then other guy goes all in. confused , i call.
He said he thought i had a full house , and was even reluctant to flip over his flush. Then he turns over a j high flush to my 9 high flush , and all the while im thinking ugh , why does he think hes loseing , and thus giving away weird tells. |
but even if you have a flush......surely you can't expect 9 high to be the winning hand? why did you raise? (at the very least, i would of raised with a A flush), but even then, with KK on the board i would of been very cautious.
Posted Fri May 19, 2006 6:20 pm GMT by jbark
the probability would be 7/45*8/44 provided that you have seen the river.
that is about 3% or odds of about 3 in 97, or 1 in 32 with some rounding.
jerry>>who is a math teacher in another life
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