Chance of making nut low with one card left |
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Posted Wed Jun 14, 2006 2:22 am GMT by Jefecaminador
say you have A2xx with xx being higher than 8. Whats the chance of catching the nut low with 2 low cards out on the flop?
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Posted Wed Jun 14, 2006 10:30 am GMT by crack
16 outs so arond 1.8/1 against with one card to come
0.9/1 against with two cards to come. That's off top of my head and I have not long woke up,so may be inaccurate.
Posted Wed Jun 14, 2006 1:06 pm GMT by Sid Lambert
A 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8 are your outs...but there are already two of those on the flop, lets say they are the 7 and the 4....so you are looking for a 3, 5, 6, or 8....4 of each, so 16 outs...there are 52 - your 4 cards - the 3 flop cards, so there are 45 unknown cards...so 16/45 for one card...which converts to 1 in 2.813 or so, thats your chances on the turn, pretty good...for two cards, its 35.555% plus (100-35.555) * 16/44 = about 59% or 1 in 1.7
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