curious of the odds? help please... |
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Posted Mon Jun 26, 2006 1:26 am GMT by midgetjay
okay im not trying to moan and complain here but here's the situation i was in: heads up play between me and this other person in a sit 'n go; (i always forget to copy the hand history b/c i was mad) blinds were about 750/1500, i had a little over 8600 chips and villain had 4400.
i was dealt: K  K 
...so i move all-in
villain calls me with: A  K 
board shows: 2 8 9 4 5
what are the chances of me losing to a flush like that with my opponent having one spade and catching the other four? im not worried about the overall perecentages, just the chance of me losing the way i lost...
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Posted Mon Jun 26, 2006 1:33 am GMT by LeafsFan1122
You were about 92% to win.
Because the chips were moved all in PF (I think), the order they come in doesn't matter.
Tough loss.
Posted Mon Jun 26, 2006 2:33 am GMT by Jefecaminador
If you have 2 suited cards in your hand you have about a 1 in 21 chance of hitting a flush. Having 1 suited card, your odds are a lot less. I don't know the exact percentage but i'm guessing its something like .5-1%.
Posted Mon Jun 26, 2006 9:01 am GMT by supafrey
92%?
errr.. isn't it more like 72/28 or something? Because of the overcard?
Posted Mon Jun 26, 2006 9:25 am GMT by zinn0
Pre: 70-30
Flop: 57-43
Turn: 75-25
Posted Mon Jun 26, 2006 9:35 am GMT by LeafsFan1122
Yes, my mistake. I always do this.
Mistook it for being AA vs AK.
My bad, Zinn is correct.
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