Posted Tue Dec 26, 2006 2:49 pm GMT by QuietOne
Played a hand just a few minutes ago and a few of us were wonering what the odds are of this happening. None of us are any good at figuring odds so please help us.
Heads Up. Flop 7-8-10 rainbow
Player one goes all in with 6-9 for a straight
Player two calls with 8-Q for a pair. (why he called I don't know)
Turn 6
River 9
split pot.
Does anyone know what his odds after the flop of getting a split pot.
Thanks!
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Posted Tue Dec 26, 2006 2:56 pm GMT by Sean_in_NJ
1.52%
He had a better chance to win than to chop.
Posted Tue Dec 26, 2006 3:05 pm GMT by QuietOne
Thanks!
Posted Tue Dec 26, 2006 4:51 pm GMT by Geno
A little clarification since Sean could have written anything (and probably did  )
On the turn, a 6 or 9 is required but we know two are in play so the odds of that are 6/44. After that comes, we need one of the three 6s or 9s depending on the turn card which leaves 3/43.
6/44 x 3/43 = 0.95%
Sorry Sean, you suck my friend 
Posted Tue Dec 26, 2006 4:58 pm GMT by QuietOne
So the odds of that happening are even worse.
Thanks Geno!
Posted Tue Dec 26, 2006 5:00 pm GMT by Sean_in_NJ
52 cards in the deck...not 51. There are seven known, not six.
But, my calculations were wrong anyway. I did 6/45 x 5/44.
0.91%
Posted Tue Dec 26, 2006 6:22 pm GMT by Geno
| Sean_in_NJ wrote: | 52 cards in the deck...not 51. There are seven known, not six.
But, my calculations were wrong anyway. I did 6/45 x 5/44.
0.91% |
I deducted the burnt card 
Also, how can 5 outs on the river be true in this scenario? If you need to hit on the turn AND river, by definition there must be only 3 outs left on the river right?
Posted Tue Dec 26, 2006 6:48 pm GMT by Sean_in_NJ
| Geno wrote: | | If you need to hit on the turn AND river, by definition there must be only 3 outs left on the river right? |
Yes, that's why I said my calculations were wrong. I was just explaining how I got my incorrect number the first time.
Posted Wed Dec 27, 2006 9:54 am GMT by Geno
OK, I will stop highlighting your shortcomings as of now. Maybe.
Posted Wed Dec 27, 2006 10:08 am GMT by Sean_in_NJ
| Geno wrote: | | OK, I will stop highlighting your shortcomings as of now. Maybe. |
Of all my shortcomings, this is pretty far down on the list.
Posted Wed Dec 27, 2006 10:16 am GMT by QuietOne
I hope my little pointless question didn't break up a friendship or romance or anything . . .
Thanks to both of you!
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