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To chase or not to chase



Posted Fri May 04, 2007 3:13 am GMT by MrDarling
This hand happened my second orbit in the table.

Full Tilt Poker Game #2347724057: Table Galatea (6 max) - $0.10/$0.25 - No Limit Hold'em - 1:15:33 ET - 2007/05/04
Seat 1: nickanderson42 ($24.40)
Seat 2: hero ($26.40)
Seat 3: dubdub23 ($23.50)
Seat 4: Foundation1 ($19.50)
Seat 5: TigerEye314 ($41.65)
Seat 6: misthing ($40.90)
hero posts the small blind of $0.10
dubdub23 posts the big blind of $0.25
The button is in seat #1
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to hero Nine of SpadesKing of Spades
Foundation1 folds
TigerEye314 folds
misthing folds
nickanderson42 calls $0.25
hero calls $0.15
dubdub23 checks
*** FLOP *** Ten of SpadesSeven of SpadesJack of Hearts
hero checks
dubdub23 checks
nickanderson42 bets $0.40
hero raises to $1.20
dubdub23 raises to $3.75
here I put him on a str or a set at best. I think my implied odds are great if I hit
nickanderson42 folds
hero has 15 seconds left to act
hero calls $2.55
*** TURN *** Ten of SpadesSeven of SpadesJack of Hearts Six of Diamonds
hero checks
dubdub23 bets $5.25
[hero ?

my draw just became better - and spade, or a Q for a win, an 8 for a possible tie (if he does have a str8) And I think he is pot commited, so if I hit I get his stack. Do I have odds?


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Posted Fri May 04, 2007 4:20 am GMT by Eusebio
6,65$ in the pot

costs you 5.25 so almost 1:2,2


I think he has more than a pair, so the K´s wont be real outs...

That gives you 9 spades, 3 eights and 3 queens= 15 outs.

If the spase hits i wouldnt consider much implied odds, but a Q could make a lot of money. so lets consider one 5th (3 of 15 outs) of his remaining stack (3$) for the implied odds... that would make it 1:2,8

I think you can call...



Posted Sat May 05, 2007 4:07 am GMT by Phil14312
I didn't read your post.

My answer: chase.

No but seriously, I call here if you are like 80% sure you stack him. Extra 10-12 dollars gives you like 4:1 on your draw plus implied odds.



Posted Mon May 07, 2007 3:49 pm GMT by Jauron
Smells like a lack of pot odds trying to justify the call.

Somebody hit us with the math on implied odds please, because I don't think it's possible here given how deep we have to get in and what players have left and thats IF villian can't lay this down.

Villians hand is probably too strong for us to push here, I think I fold it up, but then I would have on the flop.






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