Posted Wed May 23, 2007 8:12 am GMT by Eusebio
"you cant see the forrest, because of all the trees"
Thats what we say in german, if somebody is to stupid to see whats in front of his eyes and I think i am just seeing trees here...
Had a "Poker-Luck vs Skill"-discussion and i was asked whats skill if somebody hits his one outer on the river when all the money is in the pot... so I just calculated the EV
A One-Outer is equivalent of about 2% chance, and i took a NL10 game
so:
(0.02x-10)+(0.98x10)=
=-0.20+9.80= $9.60
I was wondering now where the 20 Cent have gone, shouldnt I be winning 98% of the time and winning 9.80 ???
I guess its just a stupid "thinking in the wrong direction"-thing, but can anybody help me out here
Did you know that participating in a poker forum can help you improve your own game? Be it by sharing experiences or simply asking for help, participation in a forum helps you focus and keep 'on topic' which will help you improve your game. You can learn from other players feedback and from their experiences. Why the THP poker forums? We offer one of the best managed texas holdem poker forums available, and the community within is far more friendly than those typicaly found on other sites. We've made a 'lurkers edition' of the poker forum available here on Holdem Poker Online, but we encourage all visitors to register and join in on the conversations on TexasHoldem-Poker.com
Posted Wed May 23, 2007 10:07 am GMT by MrDarling
Your profit is $9.60.
The total pot is $20 each time 98% X $20 = $19.60
Posted Wed May 23, 2007 10:21 am GMT by Eusebio
now its all clear...
thanks!
|
|
