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Check or Bet turn ?



Posted Sat May 26, 2007 4:21 pm GMT by Ciso_B
Early on in a mtt , don't know the player.


PokerStars Game #10117349465: Tournament #50597707, $50+$5 Hold'em No Limit - Level I (10/20) - 2007/05/26 - 17:16:29 (ET)
Table '50597707 14' 9-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: Davie327 (1500 in chips)
Seat 2: HABACH (2990 in chips)
Seat 3: MrSmokey1 (2980 in chips)
Seat 4: OnlyDaNuts (3000 in chips)
Seat 5: mendezoo (3015 in chips)
Seat 6: knalle (1500 in chips)
Seat 7: phillyJbizee (1515 in chips)
Seat 8: mattster24 (3000 in chips)
Seat 9: Neab (1500 in chips)
MrSmokey1: posts small blind 10
OnlyDaNuts: posts big blind 20
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Neab Four of ClubsSix of Clubs
mendezoo: folds
knalle: folds
phillyJbizee: calls 20
mattster24: calls 20
Neab: calls 20
Davie327: calls 20
HABACH: raises 60 to 80
MrSmokey1: folds
OnlyDaNuts: folds
phillyJbizee: calls 60
mattster24: calls 60
Neab: calls 60
Davie327: calls 60
*** FLOP *** Three of HeartsJack of HeartsSix of Diamonds
phillyJbizee: checks
mattster24: checks
Neab: bets 185
Davie327: folds
HABACH: folds
knalle re-buys and receives 1500 chips for $50.00
phillyJbizee: calls 185
mattster24: folds
*** TURN *** Three of HeartsJack of HeartsSix of Diamonds King of Spades
phillyJbizee: checks


I felt he probably has a flush draw or 3-3 here, flush draw more likely since he might c/r flop with trips. So, should I bet here or check ?


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Posted Sat May 26, 2007 5:28 pm GMT by snoogins47
It's hard to tell without knowing the player obviously but I think there's even some significant (though not huge) chance that he's got something like 88/99/TT and will give it up, and rarely some players are weird enough to give up JT or QJ here to another bet. And of course, generally speaking we want to bet against a flush draw as well.

I'd probably bet about 350 here and run screaming from any raise and probably from most river bets, and I'm obv looking to check behind on most rivers. I tend to hate giving up in heads up pots when my opponent hasn't proven he's that interested in his hand, and I've got enough of a hand that I'm mostly beating the drawing part of his range. That can be suicide in rebuy tournaments though Smile



Posted Sun May 27, 2007 2:31 pm GMT by supafrey
4/5th pot size bet, strongly consider folding to the c/r.

If they just call then the upcoming card definitely decides whether I'm checking behind a missed draw or betting very strong to get a jack to fold.






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