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never ending string of sets



Posted Sat Jun 02, 2007 6:03 pm GMT by kingetje
wow! i was playing on 2 tables and caught 2 consecutive sets on both tables at the same time


PokerStars Game #10237802279: Hold'em No Limit ($0.25/$0.50) - 2007/06/02 - 18:46:42 (ET)
Table 'Nasl' 6-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: Benicio333 ($59.35 in chips)
Seat 2: kingetje ($101.60 in chips)
Seat 5: TianYuan ($54.95 in chips)
Seat 6: tinga81 ($124.25 in chips)
TianYuan: posts small blind $0.25
tinga81: posts big blind $0.50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to kingetje Ace of SpadesAce of Hearts
Benicio333: raises $1.50 to $2
kingetje: raises $5 to $7
TianYuan: folds
tinga81: folds
Benicio333: calls $5
*** FLOP *** Jack of HeartsAce of DiamondsJack of Diamonds
Benicio333: checks
kingetje: bets $5
Benicio333: calls $5
*** TURN *** Jack of HeartsAce of DiamondsJack of Diamonds Queen of Hearts
Benicio333: checks
kingetje: bets $9
Benicio333: calls $9
*** RIVER *** Jack of HeartsAce of DiamondsJack of DiamondsQueen of Hearts Seven of Hearts
Benicio333: checks
kingetje: bets $23.50
Benicio333: folds
kingetje collected $40.75 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $42.75 | Rake $2
Board Jack of HeartsAce of DiamondsJack of DiamondsQueen of HeartsSeven of Hearts
Seat 1: Benicio333 folded on the River
Seat 2: kingetje (button) collected ($40.75)
Seat 5: TianYuan (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 6: tinga81 (big blind) folded before Flop



PokerStars Game #10237815336: Hold'em No Limit ($0.25/$0.50) - 2007/06/02 - 18:47:36 (ET)
Table 'Phaedra IV' 6-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 1: xakijo ($24.50 in chips)
Seat 2: HardcorePawn ($35.35 in chips)
Seat 3: 3onthego ($19.40 in chips)
Seat 5: kingetje ($101.80 in chips)
Seat 6: Platinum7s ($12.35 in chips)
Platinum7s: posts small blind $0.25
xakijo: posts big blind $0.50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to kingetje Two of HeartsTwo of Clubs
HardcorePawn: folds
3onthego: calls $0.50
kingetje: calls $0.50
Platinum7s: folds
xakijo: checks
*** FLOP *** Ace of SpadesNine of ClubsTwo of Spades
xakijo: checks
3onthego: bets $2
kingetje: raises $4 to $6
xakijo: folds
3onthego: calls $4
*** TURN *** Ace of SpadesNine of ClubsTwo of Spades Eight of Hearts
3onthego: checks
kingetje: bets $7
3onthego: folds
kingetje collected $13.10 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $13.75 | Rake $0.65
Board Ace of SpadesNine of ClubsTwo of SpadesEight of Hearts
Seat 1: xakijo (big blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 2: HardcorePawn folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: 3onthego folded on the Turn
Seat 5: kingetje (button) collected ($13.10)
Seat 6: Platinum7s (small blind) folded before Flop



PokerStars Game #10237813005: Hold'em No Limit ($0.25/$0.50) - 2007/06/02 - 18:47:26 (ET)
Table 'Nasl' 6-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 1: Benicio333 ($50 in chips)
Seat 2: kingetje ($121.35 in chips)
Seat 5: TianYuan ($54.70 in chips)
Seat 6: tinga81 ($123.75 in chips)
tinga81: posts small blind $0.25
Benicio333: posts big blind $0.50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to kingetje Eight of HeartsEight of Diamonds
kingetje: calls $0.50
TianYuan: folds
tinga81: folds
Benicio333: checks
*** FLOP *** Eight of SpadesSeven of SpadesNine of Clubs
R] c0 is connected
R c0 has returned
Benicio333: checks
kingetje: bets $1
Benicio333: calls $1
*** TURN *** Eight of SpadesSeven of SpadesNine of Clubs Five of Clubs
Benicio333: checks
kingetje: checks
*** RIVER *** Eight of SpadesSeven of SpadesNine of ClubsFive of Clubs Nine of Hearts
Benicio333: checks
kingetje: bets $10
Benicio333 said, "lol"
Benicio333: folds
kingetje collected $3.10 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $3.25 | Rake $0.15
Board Eight of SpadesSeven of SpadesNine of ClubsFive of ClubsNine of Hearts
Seat 1: Benicio333 (big blind) folded on the River
Seat 2: kingetje collected ($3.10)
Seat 5: TianYuan (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: tinga81 (small blind) folded before Flop



PokerStars Game #10237827368: Hold'em No Limit ($0.25/$0.50) - 2007/06/02 - 18:48:25 (ET)
Table 'Phaedra IV' 6-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 1: xakijo ($24 in chips)
Seat 2: HardcorePawn ($35.35 in chips)
Seat 3: 3onthego ($12.90 in chips)
Seat 5: kingetje ($108.40 in chips)
Seat 6: Platinum7s ($12.10 in chips)
xakijo: posts small blind $0.25
HardcorePawn: posts big blind $0.50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to kingetje Four of ClubsFour of Spades
3onthego: calls $0.50
kingetje: calls $0.50
Platinum7s: calls $0.50
xakijo: calls $0.25
HardcorePawn: checks
*** FLOP *** Jack of DiamondsThree of SpadesSeven of Hearts
xakijo: checks
HardcorePawn: checks
3onthego: checks
kingetje: checks
Platinum7s: checks
*** TURN *** Jack of DiamondsThree of SpadesSeven of Hearts Four of Hearts
xakijo: checks
HardcorePawn: bets $1.50
3onthego: calls $1.50
kingetje: raises $4 to $5.50
Platinum7s: folds
xakijo: folds
HardcorePawn: calls $4
3onthego: calls $4
*** RIVER *** Jack of DiamondsThree of SpadesSeven of HeartsFour of Hearts Queen of Diamonds
HardcorePawn: checks
3onthego: checks
kingetje: bets $11
HardcorePawn: calls $11
3onthego: folds
*** SHOW DOWN ***
kingetje: shows Four of ClubsFour of Spades (three of a kind, Fours)
HardcorePawn: mucks hand
kingetje collected $39 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $41 | Rake $2
Board Jack of DiamondsThree of SpadesSeven of HeartsFour of HeartsQueen of Diamonds
Seat 1: xakijo (small blind) folded on the Turn
Seat 2: HardcorePawn (big blind) mucked Eight of HeartsJack of Clubs
Seat 3: 3onthego folded on the River
Seat 5: kingetje showed Four of ClubsFour of Spades and won ($39) with three of a kind, Fours
Seat 6: Platinum7s (button) folded on the Turn


just thought i'd share Razz


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Posted Sun Jun 03, 2007 5:12 am GMT by Concussed
i bet your brain was well scrambled after that lot !! lol


Posted Sun Jun 03, 2007 11:03 pm GMT by jeffonline
I think it should be said, the odds of making trips or better on the flop with a PP is 7.5/1 so, if I what goes round comes around you shouldn't hit trip again with a PP for 7.5X4 = 30 hands. Don’t you just love this game.


Posted Mon Jun 04, 2007 12:16 pm GMT by AHBrownell
Every event is independent though. His odds of hitting a set don't change - regardless of how many times in a row he hits a set. Smile


Posted Tue Jun 05, 2007 6:36 am GMT by Cyberhwk
AHBrownell wrote:
Every event is independent though. His odds of hitting a set don't change - regardless of how many times in a row he hits a set. Smile
True, but just like we can make assumptions about the odds of hitting trips on any individual hand, we can ALSO make assumptions about how often hands will hit when looked at as a group.

Just amend his statement to say that it will take 30 "set-less" POCKET PAIRS (not hands) before he flops another set to normalize this set of data.



Posted Tue Jun 05, 2007 11:26 am GMT by lwestatbus
Cyberhwk wrote:
True, but just like we can make assumptions about the odds of hitting trips on any individual hand, we can ALSO make assumptions about how often hands will hit when looked at as a group.

Just amend his statement to say that it will take 30 "set-less" POCKET PAIRS (not hands) before he flops another set to normalize this set of data.


Fortunately for kingetje I've been keeping the statistical universe in balance for him by pulling down the 30 set-less PP last month. (But I was able to set things right yesterday with a monster day, up $80 in about 2 hours of $1/2 FL ring. A couple of sets to PP but two monster hands where I had a straight built around a medium or low PP.)






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