I got a math problem for you... |
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Posted Mon Jul 14, 2003 12:13 pm GMT by Adam Marshall
So I'm no Mike Caro, but I was thinking about simplifying a way to figure outs on the turn and river combined. I did a little 9th grade algebra and came up with the problem below. It seems to work, but once again, I'm no math genius. Any comments?
x=# of outs after the flop
y=probability of hitting one of those outs on the turn and/or river
y = 1 - ( 1 - x/47 )( 1 - x/46 ) the standard out-figuring equation
y = 1 - ( 1 - x/46 - x/47 + x2/2162 ) that's x squared remember FOILing?!
y = -x/46 - x/47 + x2/2162
y = x2/2162 - x/46 -x/47 just rearranged it to look nicer
y = x ( x/2162 - 1/46 - 1/47 )
y = x ( x/2162 - .043) changed it to a decimal for simplicity
So you take you outs, divide it by 2162, subtract .043, and multiply that by the number of outs again. The absolute value of that should roughly be your chance of hitting at least one out on the turn or river combined.
Right?
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Posted Tue Jul 29, 2003 12:34 pm GMT by jbaker126
On-line poker this may help. I feel when playing with real people it is better to read them, than your %, cuz sometime nothing is a pretty good hand.
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