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[19:33] <@gumbie> best fold in history



Posted Mon Aug 25, 2008 11:16 pm GMT by Ensano
http://www.pokerhand.org/?3099675

19:33 <@gumbie> http://www.pokerhand.org/?3099675
19:33 <@gumbie> best fold in history
20:11 <@Pav> wait isn't the math there.. like.. equal?
20:11 <@Pav> you realize he could just be lying?
20:25 <@gumbie> I don't think he was
20:25 <@gumbie> he pasted hh in chat
20:25 <@gumbie> and then he put a screenie in facebook
20:26 <@gumbie> but I cant see there
20:26 <@gumbie> some guy at the table tried to get him to post it at 2+2
20:27 <@gumbie> if I shpow AA face up it's a fold just
20:27 <@gumbie> I think
20:28 * @Muten (~ouais@29.21-65-87.adsl-dyn.isp.belgacom.be) Quit (Quit)
20:39 <@Pav> just barely
20:39 <@Pav> so he literally has to be 100% sure you have aa
20:39 <@Pav> meaning you're a nit
20:42 <@gumbie> nah
20:42 <@gumbie> if I have kk aa or aks it's still a fold apparently
20:43 <@gumbie> the fact there was 470 effective stack makes a big difference
20:44 <@gumbie> he 4 bet was pretty ridiculous
20:44 <@gumbie> lol


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Posted Mon Aug 25, 2008 11:24 pm GMT by Ensano
by time Gumbo pushes the pot is 667.30 and it's 267.3 for villian to call... basically 2.5:1 pot odds preflop...

so basically all villian needs is 28.57% equity...

situation A).. heros 4bet range is KK+, AK

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

154,107,360 games 0.005 secs 30,821,472,000 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 47.293% 43.79% 03.51% 67479612 5402286.00 { KK }
Hand 1: 52.707% 49.20% 03.51% 75823176 5402286.00 { KK+, AKs, AKo }




situation B).. heros range is KK or AA only

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

71,916,768 games 0.005 secs 14,383,353,600 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 22.618% 15.59% 07.03% 11209632 5056266.00 { KK }
Hand 1: 77.382% 70.35% 07.03% 50594604 5056266.00 { KK+ }


so basically worst case it's situation B... all villian needs here is a 6% chance he's wrong...

not to mention he's already got 42.8% of his stack in already...



Posted Mon Aug 25, 2008 11:28 pm GMT by miaowmiaowchowface
He'd have to see you as a MASSIVE nit lol it's such a bad fold





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