Posted Mon Jul 28, 2003 7:14 pm GMT by holdemjoe
a friend of mine had AA, as did the other guy, but of course, the other guy caught his flush. I dont think thats a bad beat, but it still sucked, because the pot was huge.
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Posted Mon Jul 28, 2003 10:00 pm GMT by Poker_Vendetta
A very bad out-draw, perhaps that is the term you are looking for. I don't know statistics, perhaps Genocidal could do the math but AA obviously can't be suited together so 4/5 cards would have to be one suit so the odds of that are pretty unlikely. Usually that doesn't happen, 3 of one suit is fairly common but 4 is pushing it. You're friend did get unlucky.
Posted Tue Jul 29, 2003 5:13 am GMT by Geno
Odds first card is the right suit is 12/50 (u hold one remember!), if it hits it is 11/49 for the next card, 10/48 3rd, 9/47 for 4th and fifth can be anything other than that suit for this to work 38/46.
Note that this assumes that the flop and turn are all one suit. If the river is required to make the four suited then there are 5 permutations each with exactly the same odds - here is the example:
Club, Club, Club, Club, Other = 0.001775566841
Club, Club, Club, Other, Club = 0.001775566841
Club, Club, Other, Club, Club = 0.001775566841
Club, Other, Club, Club, Club = 0.001775566841
Other, Club, Club, Club, Club = 0.001775566841
Total odds are 0.008877834205 (which looks very wrong now!  )
So by my terrible maths, the odds are about 1 in 112.64 which seems far too much of a long shot.
Adam or some else with a brain, help me out here!
Posted Sat Aug 16, 2003 4:40 pm GMT by karasz
well if you really want a bad beat...
$10-20 limit (we all spent $2 to play in a tourney... then just took a box of chips)
i have ks 7d
other guy qc qd
he doubles big blind, i call...
flop as qs js
i bet $50, he calls
turn ts
i bet $50, he calls
river 7c
i bet $100, he waits about 5 minutes... calls
i flip over the Ks... he cant believe it...
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