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Odds on this



Posted Tue Sep 02, 2003 5:00 pm GMT by als2430
Playing in a hold 'em game yesterday, just about out of cash. I pick up AK diamonds and bet semi-big, everyone folds but 1 other. Flop comes JK diamonds, Jack. So i got flush, straight, straight flush, Ace, a bunch of draws, so i go all in (remember i was down to practically nothing.) So we flip over and hes got pocket jacks, 4 of kind. On the turn i pick up the queen of diamonds for the Royal Flush. So the point of the story was that a 4 of a kind lost in straight up hold em to a royale, random shuffled, and all that good stuff. Can anyone figure out the odds of a royal flush and a 4 of a kind showing up in the same hold em game, only 4 cards flipped??

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Posted Tue Sep 02, 2003 9:20 pm GMT by Poker_Vendetta
Where is the 10 of diamonds?


Posted Tue Sep 02, 2003 10:30 pm GMT by karasz
the 10d has to be one of the kd he accidentally mentioned twice...


Posted Wed Sep 03, 2003 7:07 pm GMT by als2430
Sorry, my pocket was AT


Posted Wed Sep 03, 2003 10:59 pm GMT by Poker_Vendetta
Well anyway...The odds of that are ridiculous. I'm pretty sure this is wrong but..1/47 (the card you need to make the flush), so you have a 1.--something chance of making the flush, percentile wise I mean. And that was your ONLY out to beat that guy (you could have had an open-ended straight flush draw, I can't remember, in that case it would be 2)...So the chances of that are insanely rare, and yes...You got very very lucky. Your chance in getting the card 1/47 (I don't really count the cards already out there)





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