Dealt pocket Aces twice in a row last night! |
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Posted Fri Aug 27, 2004 9:29 am GMT by Nut Flush
Almost fell out of my chair! Anyway, whats the odds to all the math people out there? Best part is, they held up both times. Worst part, was playing 1/2 limit. Why can't I get hands like that in the sit n go's?
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Posted Fri Aug 27, 2004 10:57 am GMT by ORGrinder
odds of being dealt any pocket pair at any time is 220 to 1.
i'm not sure how the addition of odds works... lol... so for twice in a row maybe something like 440 to 1 ??? LOL.
at any rate... for each of your two hands it was 220 to 1 that you'd get the AA's
Posted Fri Aug 27, 2004 1:37 pm GMT by joerobinson04
I got AA and then KK once. Hopefully you made some money off of your hands.
Posted Sun Aug 29, 2004 7:40 pm GMT by redd38
| ORGrinder wrote: | odds of being dealt any pocket pair at any time is 220 to 1.
i'm not sure how the addition of odds works... lol... so for twice in a row maybe something like 440 to 1 ??? LOL.
at any rate... for each of your two hands it was 220 to 1 that you'd get the AA's |
I'm pretty sure you multiply in this case so 48400 to 1 maybe? I don't think that's right either.
Anyway, I got AA twice in 3 hands.... I busted out the second time to guy that caught a pair on both the turn and the river (no, i didn't slow play)
Posted Sun Aug 29, 2004 8:13 pm GMT by Gronker
Chances of any predetermined hole pair:
4/52 x 3/51 = 0.004524 -or- 1 in 221
Chance of any predetermined hole pair; back to back:
4/52 x 3/51 x 4/52 x 3/51 = (4/52 x 3/51) ^ 2 = 1 in 48841
Posted Mon Aug 30, 2004 8:04 pm GMT by JunkyardGod
I'm sure you saw my thread about how I was dealt aces three hands in a row. and hit an ace on the flop in two of those hands.
Uncanny luck that I have yet to repeat.
Posted Sun Sep 05, 2004 8:21 am GMT by freni126
I have also gotten AA twice in a row... in a homegame actually.. 
I've gotten QQ KK AA three hands in a row as well... but I guess that doesn't beat AA three times in a row.
Posted Sun Sep 05, 2004 12:30 pm GMT by wEbMaStEr
The other night i was dealt AA 3 times in the space of about half an hour, i doubled thru with the 1st 2 and seriously considered dumping the 3rd time i got them, cos i seriously doubted they could hold up a 3rd time.
I didn't dump them of course, and they didn't hold up of course 
Posted Sun Sep 26, 2004 9:33 am GMT by RhythmA
I was looking at my notes from hand historys
over a 6 hand stretch in a 1/2 ring game I was dealt in order
QQ , KK , AKs , AA , AA , TT
Then my next Six
98s, T2o , T3o , T5s , T4o ,T4o
It Comes & it Goes....
Posted Thu Apr 21, 2005 9:29 am GMT by TallBrad
| wEbMaStEr wrote: | The other night i was dealt AA 3 times in the space of about half an hour, i doubled thru with the 1st 2 and seriously considered dumping the 3rd time i got them, cos i seriously doubted they could hold up a 3rd time.
I didn't dump them of course, and they didn't hold up of course |
I was playing in a 10 man NL game. The guy at the end of the table slow played his Aces and got burned. Very next hand, I get dealt Aces, he acted before me and went all-in. I couldn't have been happier I figured he was on tilt, so I called. He flipped his cards over, pocket aces again. We ended up splitting the blinds since the flush didn't come for either of us.
Posted Thu Apr 21, 2005 1:05 pm GMT by suitedaces84
| Gronker wrote: | | 4/52 x 3/51 x 4/52 x 3/51 = (4/52 x 3/51) ^ 2 = 1 in 48841 |
Of course this is for two specific hands. The odds of being dealt AA back to back for two if you play more than two hands are:
1-(48841/48842)^n where 'n' equals the number of hands you play minus one (you have to play more than one hand to be dealt AA back to back).
So if you've play 40K hands or more it's actually probable that you will get AA back to back at some point.
Posted Thu Apr 21, 2005 3:50 pm GMT by NickFlynn
Another way to look at it is that whenever you get pocket aces, you have a 1 in 220 chance of getting them on the next hand.
- Nick
Posted Tue May 10, 2005 11:30 pm GMT by cono2
its 48841 if you say "Ok whats the probabitity of getting pocket aces the next two hands" But if you sit down and play 500 hands, the chances are much much greater. Out of every 48841 hands you play, you will average back-to-back pocket aces once.
Posted Sat May 14, 2005 6:39 pm GMT by age_of_sages
Do those calculations take into account that there's 6 different variations of pocket aces? eg. A  A  , A  A and so on. If not, it makes the chances of getting AA back to back than those calculations.
Posted Sat May 14, 2005 6:52 pm GMT by suitedaces84
| age_of_sages wrote: | | Do those calculations take into account that there's 6 different variations of pocket aces? |
Yes.
Probability of getting pocket aces:
Probability of first card being an A = 4/52
Probability of second card being an A = 3/51
Multiply those two numbers and you'll get about 1/220
Posted Mon May 23, 2005 11:01 am GMT by arras
Yesterday I hit pocket aces twice in a row. On the second hand, another player had the other two. That has to be a statistical long shot, whats even better is I won the first time and split on the second.
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