Official "Heads Up" Championships Thread. |
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Posted Tue Feb 22, 2005 3:09 pm GMT by ChkDeezNuts
I have taken the liberty to post what I believe their odds of winning are. Names in Bold, I consider the favorites. The tourney is single elimination.
BRUNSON, DOYLE 10-1
CHAN, JOHNNY 5-1
CLOUTIER, T.J. 12-1
ESFANDIARI, ANTONIO 9-1
ELEZRA, ELI 25-1
GIANG, CHAU 15-1
GREENSTEIN, BARRY 15-1
GREY, DAVID 30-1
HANSEN, GUS 7-2
IVEY, PHIL 3-1
LEDERER, HOWARD 10-1
LIEBERT, KATHY 20-1
LINDGREN, ERICK 10-1
MONEYMAKER, CHRIS 12-1
MORTENSEN, CARLOS 8-1
MYUNG, JOHN 35-1
NEGREANU, DANIEL 7-1
NGUYEN, SCOTTY 10-1
RAYMER, GREG 15-1
REESE, CHIP 12-1
SEED, HUCK 5-1
SEXTON, MIKE 40-1
SKLANSKY, DAVID 35-1
TOMKO, DEWEY 15-1
TRAN, MIMI 20-1
VIOLETTE, CYNDY 35-1
http://www.headsuppokerchamp.net/
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Posted Tue Feb 22, 2005 3:20 pm GMT by Dave B
Dont you love Vegas prop odds? Take the inverse of all and add them up, even odds would at up to one, "fair" odds would add up to 1.1 (10% fee for house).....
I get about 2.60 or the field has a combined 260% chance of winning. Notice that they dont let you bet against anyone?
Given the odds....I will take Greenstein @ 15:1 or Lederer @ 10:1, even though everyone is a sucker bet.
Posted Tue Feb 22, 2005 3:30 pm GMT by ChkDeezNuts
| Dave B wrote: | Dont you love Vegas prop odds? Take the inverse of all and add them up, even odds would at up to one, "fair" odds would add up to 1.1 (10% fee for house).....
I get about 2.60 or the field has a combined 260% chance of winning. Notice that they dont let you bet against anyone?
Given the odds....I will take Greenstein @ 15:1 or Lederer @ 10:1, even though everyone is a sucker bet. |
Actually...I made those odds.......I guess I am giving away what my gambling backround is from.
Posted Thu Feb 24, 2005 7:54 am GMT by ky70
Phil Ivey is one of my favorite players, but to give any player a 33% chance of winning with that field is much too high in my opinion.
Posted Thu Feb 24, 2005 5:22 pm GMT by ky70
If I were handicapping the field, I would have a hard time givimg someone better odds than Daniel Negreanu
Posted Thu Feb 24, 2005 6:08 pm GMT by ChkDeezNuts
| ky70 wrote: | | If I were handicapping the field, I would have a hard time givimg someone better odds than Daniel Negreanu |
I based the odds on past performance heads up...thus I made the "power" players favorites...Daniel Negraunu is a finese player....I still made him like 5th choice.
Posted Fri Mar 04, 2005 4:30 pm GMT by ChkDeezNuts
The Tourney starts on Saturday March 5th.....
Here is the confirmed field:
ANGELIL, RENE
ARIEH, JOSH
BALDWIN, BOBBY
BAXTER, BILLY
BERMAN, LYLE
BIBB, CURTIS
BRUNSON, DOYLE
BRUNSON, TODD
BUSS, JERRY
CARO, MIKE
CERNUTO, JOHN
CHAN, JOHNNY
CLOUTIER, T.J.
DEEB, KASSEM "FREDDY"
DUKE, ANNIE
ELEZRA, ELI
ESFANDIARI, ANTONIO
FARHA, SAM
FERGUSON, CHRIS
FISCHMAN, SCOTT
FLACK, LAYNE
FORREST, TED
FRANGOS, NICK
FRIEDMAN, PRAHLAD
GIANG, CHAU
GORDON, PHIL
GREENSTEIN, BARRY
GREY, DAVID
HABIB, HASSAN
HANSEN, GUS
HARMAN TRANIELLI, JENNIFER
HELLMUTH, PHIL
HENNIGAN, JOHN
IVEY, PHIL
JUANDA, JOHN
LEDERER, HOWARD
LIEBERT, KATHY
LINDGREN, ERICK
MCEVOY, TOM
MONEYMAKER, CHRIS
MORTENSEN, CARLOS
MYUNG, JOHN
NAKANO, YOSH
NEGREANU, DANIEL
NG, EVELYN
NGUYEN, MEN
NGUYEN, SCOTTY
ORENSTEIN, HENRY
PHAM, DAVID
PHILLIPS, PAUL
RAYMER, GREG
REESE, CHIP
SALEM, LAITH (LEE)
SEED, HUCK
SEIDEL, ERIK
SEXTON, MIKE
SKLANSKY, DAVID
TOMKO, DEWEY
TRAN, MIMI
VAHEDI, AMIR
VIOLETTE, CYNDY
WAGER, DENNIS
WILLIAMS, DAVID
WOODS, JAMES
Posted Fri Mar 04, 2005 4:46 pm GMT by ChkDeezNuts
BODOG Odds:
Daniel Negreanu
10/1
Scott Fischman
12/1
Gus Hansen
12/1
Phil Ivey
12/1
John Juanda
12/1
Erick Lindgren
12/1
Howard Lederer
12/1
Scotty Nguyen
18/1
Chau Giang
18/1
Johnny Chan
18/1
Doyle Brunson
18/1
Men Nguyen
18/1
Phil Hellmuth
22/1
Greg Raymer
24/1
David Williams
24/1
Amir Vahedi
24/1
Josh Arieh
24/1
Ted Forrest
24/1
Chris Ferguson
28/1
Antonio Esfandiari
28/1
Paul Phillips
28/1
Phil Gordon
28/1
Mike Sexton
30/1
Annie Duke
30/1
Barry Greenstein
20/1
Chip Reese
20/1
Jennifer Harman
20/1
Erik Seidel
30/1
T.J. Cloutier
35/1
Mike Caro
35/1
Layne Flack
35/1
Sammy Farha
35/1
Freddy Deeb
35/1
Huck Seed
40/1
David Sklansky
38/1
Tom McEvoy
40/1
David Pham
24/1
Dewey Tomko
40/1
Lyle Berman
40/1
John Cernuto
40/1
Carlos Mortenson
36/1
David Grey
40/1
Kathy Liebert
45/1
Cindy Violette
45/1
Hassan Habib
45/1
Bobby Baldwin
45/1
Henry Orenstein
45/1
Prahlad Friedman
42/1
Rene Angelil
55/1
John Hennigan
25/1
Billy Baxter
55/1
Jerry Buss
55/1
Mimi Tran
25/1
Todd Brunson
45/1
Evelyn Ng
65/1
Chris Moneymaker
60/1
Dennis Wager
65/1
Lee Salem
25/1
Yosh Nakano
65/1
Nick Frangos
70/1
John Myung
75/1
Eli Elezra
30/1
Curtis Bibb
68/1
James Woods
75/1
Field (Any Other Player)
25/1
Posted Fri Mar 04, 2005 5:14 pm GMT by Dave B
Those odds can be right.....if it wasnt for luck, Phil H would win every tournament.
Posted Sat Mar 05, 2005 3:00 pm GMT by ChkDeezNuts
The Official BRACKETS.
Eli Elezra
Chris Moneymaker
Tom McEvoy
Mimi Tran
Cindy Violette
Chris Ferguson
Gus Hansen
Curtis Bibbs
Yosh Nakano
Mike Sexton
Todd Brunson
Erick Lindgren
Prahlad Friedman
Sammy Farha
Barry Greenstein
Lee Salem
Doyle Brunson
Billy Baxter
John Juanda
Chau Giang
Amir Vahedi
John Myung
Nick Frangos
TJ Cloutier
Scotty Nguyen
Mike Caro
John Hennigan
Layne Flack
Chip Reese
Henry Orenstein
Lyle Berman
Freddie Deeb
David Grey
Jennifer Harman
Bobby Baldwin
Evelyn Ng
David Williams
Carlos Mortenson
Greg Raymer
Kathy Liebert
David Pham
Huck Seed
Dewey Tomko
Paul Phillips
Phil Hellmuth
Men Nguyen
Josh Arieh
Rene
Ted Forrest
John Cernutto
Jerry Buss
Daniel Negreanu
Howard Lederer
Antonio Esfandiari
Phil Ivey
David Sklansky
James Woods
Johnny Chan
Scott Fischman
Annie Duke
Dennis Wagner
Erik Seidel
Posted Sat Mar 05, 2005 5:41 pm GMT by ChkDeezNuts
http://www.cardplayer.com/tournament-log/?event_id=1840
This link has the up to the minute results.
Posted Sat Mar 05, 2005 7:56 pm GMT by ChkDeezNuts
And in the Gus Hansen is god department........
Gus in his 1st round match against Curtis Bibb......makes a move with 84 off suit....pushes allin...Curtis Bibb finds AQ in his hand and calls.......
What happened?
Gus flopped a pair of 8's...and that is all she wrote.....
Gus makes a move on Curtis's pre-flop raise....is dead wrong on his read....and "poof"...that is the magic that is Gus Hansen.
Posted Sat Mar 05, 2005 8:11 pm GMT by JohnnyCache
The smart bet would be field at 25/1 if you axe me.
Posted Sun Mar 06, 2005 2:42 pm GMT by ChkDeezNuts
For those following it.....TWO favorites go down in order...to the same man.....
Sklansky has defeated Phil Ivey and Johnny Chan back to back.
Posted Sun Mar 06, 2005 2:47 pm GMT by JohnnyCache
WITH MATH
where can one follow this?
Posted Sun Mar 06, 2005 5:27 pm GMT by ChkDeezNuts
| JohnnyCache wrote: | WITH MATH
where can one follow this? |
Check the link I posted.
http://www.cardplayer.com/tournament-log/?event_id=1840
Posted Sun Mar 06, 2005 6:06 pm GMT by ChkDeezNuts
SWEET SIXTEEN FOLKS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Bracket
Mimi Tran v. Chris "Jesus" Ferguson
Mike Sexton v. Hasan Habib
Bracket
Lyle Berman v. Carlos Mortensen
Huck Seed v. Phil Hellmuth
Bracket
Barry Greenstein v. John Juanda
T.J. Cloutier v. John Hennigan
Bracket
Ted Forrest v. Antonio Esfandiari
David Sklansky v. Scott Fischman
Posted Sun Mar 06, 2005 6:28 pm GMT by ChkDeezNuts
Details from the David Sklansky vs. Phil Ivey MATCH.
Time for match: 2 hours 17 minutes.
Chip levels at 30 minute intervals:
:30 Ivey 6 to 5
1:00 Sklansky 8 to 5
1:30 Sklansky 2 to 1
2:00 Sklansky 4 to 1
Final Sklansky the winner
OMG.....tell me this is not true.....did Ivey get destroyed? Did the man that Daniel Negraunu called "the most overmatched player in the tourney".......bleed Ivey to death?
TELL ME IT"S NOT TRUE!!!!!!!! Is there no Santa Claus? No Easter Bunny? OH MY!!!!!!!!!!!
Posted Sun Mar 06, 2005 7:34 pm GMT by ChkDeezNuts
Sklansky is OUT.
Scott Fischman defeated him and is the first to make the ELITE EIGHT.
Another great story from this Tourney.....
Comeback of the year.
Antonio Esfandiari had 900 in chips to Howard Lederer's 39,100 and ANTONIO CAME BACK TO WIN!!!!! YIKES!!!!!
Posted Sun Mar 06, 2005 9:16 pm GMT by ChkDeezNuts
ELITE EIGHT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Mike Sexton vs. Chris "Jesus" Ferguson
Scott Fischman vs. Antonio Esfandiari
John Juanda vs. T.J. Cloutier
Lyle Berman vs. Phil Hellmuth
Posted Sun Mar 06, 2005 9:30 pm GMT by Capone15
ChkDeezNuts do you know when they are going to show this on tv.
thanks
Posted Sun Mar 06, 2005 11:01 pm GMT by ChkDeezNuts
| Capone15 wrote: | ChkDeezNuts do you know when they are going to show this on tv.
thanks |
May 7th on NBC
Posted Mon Mar 07, 2005 10:58 am GMT by ChkDeezNuts
FINAL FOUR
Phil Hellmuth vs. Antonio Esfandiari
TJ Cloutier vs. Chris "Jesus" Ferguson
Posted Mon Mar 07, 2005 11:03 am GMT by ChkDeezNuts
THE CHAMPIONSHIP SERIES (Best out of 3)
Chris "Jesus" Feguson vs. Phil Hellmuth
Posted Mon Mar 07, 2005 11:05 am GMT by ChkDeezNuts
Phil Hellmuth takes Game 1
Posted Mon Mar 07, 2005 11:08 am GMT by ChkDeezNuts
Chris Ferguson snatched victory from the jaws of defeat by hitting a 4 outer to win Game 2.
It now comes down to the final match.
Posted Mon Mar 07, 2005 11:13 am GMT by ChkDeezNuts
Log: Phil Hellmuth still has the chip lead, but Chris Ferguson is quickly catching back up. Phil limps in from the small blind, and Chris raises all in. Phil leaps out of his seat as he calls immediately, throwing down pocket queens. Ferguson picked the wrong time to bluff, because he held K-6 suited. Once again, Phil is a big favorite to not only win the hand, but to claim the championship. But he's already been a big favorite twice and lost -- perhaps he should try getting his money in with the worst of it?
The flop comes J-10-6 , improving Chris Ferguson to a pair, and that leaves him with five outs (three kings and two sixes) to avoid elimination. He's already hit a 4-outer and a 2-outer against Phil, so having five outs to root for must seem like a luxury to Ferguson.
The turn card is a 10, so it all comes down to the last card -- again. And the river card is a ... wait ... could it be ... it looks like a ... but it isn't ... it's ... a ... 4.
HELLMUTH WINS!!!!!
Phil jumps up triumphantly and raises his fists straight up over his head. He turns to the crowd, and turns around in a complete circle, as if he wants to share the victory with everyone in the room. It doesn't take him long to remember Chris Ferguson, who had a fantastic tournament that involved far more than some lucky river cards. He went over and shook Chris's hand and accepted his congratulations, but then returned to his personal celebration.
Posted Wed Apr 20, 2005 10:54 pm GMT by ChkDeezNuts
For those that didn't see it the first time...........
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